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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 21, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Contract
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The contract signals growing international defense demand for Red Cat's Black Widow platform, but the absence of a disclosed dollar amount limits near-term revenue visibility. Monitor for future contract value disclosures or follow-on orders from Japan or other allied nations. The licensed manufacturing agreement with HAMA K.K. could expand Red Cat's regional footprint.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RCAT ▲ +15.61% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +15.61% · α vs SPY +11.31% · entry $9.03 → $10.44
Entry = T+0 close
May 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.21%
call +4.21% · α +3.76%
$9.41
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+56.70%
call +56.70% · α +55.10%
$14.15
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+17.77%
call +17.77% · α +17.44%
$10.64
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+15.61%
call +15.61% · α +11.31%
$10.44
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat announced a contract to deliver Black Widow drone systems to the Japan Ministry of Defense (ATLA), with delivery expected under Japan Fiscal Year 2026. The deal, fulfilled with Japanese partner HAMA K.K., includes aircraft, ground control stations, and mission-critical components. No contract value was disclosed, limiting immediate financial quantification.

Key Facts

  • Contract from Japan Ministry of Defense (ATLA) for Black Widow drone systems
  • End-user is Japan Ground Self-Defense Force (JGSDF)
  • Delivery expected under Japan Fiscal Year 2026 (JFY26)
  • Red Cat will fulfill order with Japanese partner HAMA K.K.
  • Systems include Black Widow aircraft, WEB ground control station, and mission-critical components
  • No contract value disclosed in the press release
  • Red Cat expects to deepen local industrial involvement through licensed manufacturing and expanded maintenance capabilities

Financial Impact

Undisclosed — contract value not provided in the release

revenue

Risk Factors

  • No contract value disclosed — revenue impact cannot be quantified
  • Delivery timeline (JFY26) may span multiple quarters, deferring revenue recognition
  • Execution risk in coordinating with Japanese partner and meeting defense procurement requirements
  • Forward-looking statements about deepening local involvement are aspirational and not guaranteed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3299129
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 12 best @ T+60▲ +37.42%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.40awaiting T+5—$4.87 (+10.68%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.87 (−23.91%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.87 (−23.06%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.87 (−48.90%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.87 (−56.24%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.87 (−51.30%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.87 (−34.01%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.87 (+37.80%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.87 (−59.45%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.87 (−46.07%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published May 21, 2026