Insider Cluster (6 insiders) ·Filed May 22, 2026

RBLX

Roblox Corp
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 6 insiders, $0.5M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

These sales are too small to be informative. The CEO's $208K sale is less than 0.0006% of his likely stake. Monitor for any material insider buying (which would be a stronger signal per academic literature) or a material increase in sale volumes above 0.1% of market cap. No action warranted.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RBLX ▼ -15.89% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.89% · α vs SPY -18.62% · entry $46.00 → $38.69
Entry anchored
May 22, 04:51 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.45%
call +0.45% · α +0.49%
$46.21
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+2.17%
call +2.17% · α +1.09%
$47.00
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+5.50%
call +5.50% · α +7.45%
$48.53
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-15.89%
call -15.89% · α -18.62%
$38.69
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Six Roblox insiders, including CEO David Baszucki and CFO Naveen Chopra, sold a total of $538K in open-market sales over a two-day window (May 20-21, 2026). The cluster is 100% selling, with no insider purchases. At $33B market cap, the $538K represents ~0.0016% of market cap — a trivial amount that falls well below the 0.1% materiality threshold. The sales are likely routine liquidity/vesting-related, not a bearish signal. The historical calibration shows past bearish calls on RBLX have been wrong (T+20 win rate 70% for the model, but bearish calls specifically had negative outcomes), and the score calibration for this segment shows poor predictive power for bullish/bearish directional calls at scores 6-8. The cross-filing amplifiers are noted but do not change the trivial nature of these sales.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$538.0K
Insiders
6

Key Facts

  • Six insiders sold $538K total in open-market sales on May 20-21, 2026
  • CEO David Baszucki sold $208K (4,686 shares at ~$44.40)
  • CFO Naveen Chopra sold $83K (1,873 shares at ~$44.47)
  • Total sales represent ~0.0016% of $33B market cap — trivial
  • No insider purchases in the cluster window
  • Sales are likely routine liquidity/vesting-related, not informational

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $538K, representing ~0.0016% of $33B market cap — immaterial

insider_activity

Risk Factors

  • No material risk identified from this cluster — sales are trivial relative to market cap
  • If future filings reveal a material adverse event, these sales could be viewed as opportunistic in hindsight, but current data does not support that

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (44 analysts)

Investment Themes

Gaming & Esports

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RBLX-1779485396557
26 reports for RBLX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +28.36%Apr 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RBLX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 9, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$44.88 $47.50▲ +5.84%▲ +6.34%$42.91 (−4.39%)
Sep 2, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.51 $45.50▲ +9.61%▲ +10.76%$42.91 (+3.37%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.21 $44.88▲ +8.91%▲ +9.86%$42.91 (+4.13%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.15 $41.51▲ +8.81%▲ +8.54%$42.91 (+12.48%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$39.12 $40.67▲ +3.96%▲ +4.50%$42.91 (+9.69%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.76 $41.29▲ +6.53%▲ +6.06%$42.91 (+10.71%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$56.71 $54.47▼ −3.95%▼ −4.50%$42.91 (−24.33%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$46.83 $43.68▼ −6.73%▼ −6.68%$42.91 (−8.37%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$47.00 $41.82▼ −11.02%▼ −8.27%$42.91 (−8.70%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$46.83 $43.68▼ −6.73%▼ −6.68%$42.91 (−8.37%)
Showing 10 of 26

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Report published May 22, 2026