PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 5, 2026

RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Q1 miss may pressure the stock near-term, but focus should shift to upcoming PDUFA decisions and GTX-102 Phase 3 readout. Traders should weigh the weak quarter against pipeline catalysts; a beat on any of these could reverse sentiment.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RARE ▼ -3.93% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.93% · α vs SPY +5.99% · entry $25.93 → $24.91
Entry anchored
May 5, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.33%
$25.93
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.51%
call -3.51% · α -2.38%
$26.84
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-13.57%
call +13.57% · α +16.36%
$22.41
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-3.93%
call +3.93% · α +5.99%
$24.91
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ultragenyx reported Q1 2026 revenue of $136M (consensus $158.4M) and EPS of -$1.84 (consensus -$1.46), both missing expectations. Despite reaffirming full-year 2026 guidance of $730M-$760M revenue, the weak quarter and wider operating loss of $305M signal near-term headwinds, though upcoming PDUFA dates for DTX401 and UX111 provide potential catalysts.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-1.84
est $-1.46 · -26.0%
Revenue
$136.0M
est $158.4M · -14.1% · -2.2% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
$730M-$760M
maintained
Gross Margin
77.94%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $136M, down 2.2% YoY from $139M, missing consensus $158.4M
  • Q1 2026 EPS -$1.84 vs consensus -$1.46; net loss $185M vs $151M YoY
  • Reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance $730M-$760M and expense guidance
  • R&D expenses $187M, up from $166M YoY; SG&A $88M flat
  • Total operating expenses $305M included $30M restructuring and $30M stock-based compensation
  • Cash and securities $534M; net cash used in operations $197M
  • Two BLAs under FDA review with PDUFA dates: DTX401 (Aug 23, 2026) and UX111 (Sep 19, 2026)
  • Phase 3 GTX-102 Angelman data expected H2 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$22M (14%) vs consensus; EPS miss of -$0.38 (26%) vs consensus

revenueepsoperating losscash burn

Risk Factors

  • FDA delays or rejections for DTX401 or UX111
  • Competition in Angelman syndrome and gene therapy
  • Continued cash burn and need for additional financing

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3288196
12 reports for RARE
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +48.73%Apr 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RARE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$14.85 $15.22▼ −2.49%▼ −3.68%$15.22 (−2.49%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.53 $15.03▼ −43.35%▼ −43.02%$15.22 (−42.63%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$26.80 $14.31▼ −46.60%▼ −45.55%$15.22 (−43.21%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.93 $26.53▲ +6.42%▲ +7.02%$15.22 (−38.95%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.81 $25.81· 0.00%▲ +1.24%$15.22 (−41.03%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.85 $32.03▲ +28.89%▲ +28.69%$15.22 (−38.75%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.98 $34.61▲ +44.33%▲ +42.44%$15.22 (−36.53%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.93 $22.41▲ +13.57%▲ +16.36%$15.22 (+41.30%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.77 $22.85▼ −7.75%▼ −13.04%$15.22 (−38.55%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$22.45 $24.69▲ +9.98%▲ +0.10%$15.22 (−32.20%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published May 5, 2026