8-K ·Filed Aug 4, 2026

RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-332802
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and reaffirmed guidance reinforce confidence in commercial execution and the path to 2027 profitability. Traders should focus on the two PDUFA dates (Aug 23 for DTX401 and Sep 19 for UX111) and the GTX-102 Phase 3 readout as binary catalysts that could significantly impact the stock.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
RARE ▲ +6.42% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.42% · α vs SPY +7.02% · entry $24.93 → $26.53
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+38 -51.24% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.57%
call +3.57% · α +3.73%
$25.82
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+7.74%
call +7.74% · α +7.39%
$26.86
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+6.42%
call +6.42% · α +7.02%
$26.53
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
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in 26d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ultragenyx reported Q2 2026 revenue of $214M (beat $183.1M consensus by 17%, +28% YoY) and EPS of -$0.90 (beat -$1.00 consensus by 10%, narrowed from -$1.17 YoY). All products showed strong growth, full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed, and management reiterated its path to profitability in 2027. The company highlighted upcoming H2 catalysts: two PDUFA dates (DTX401 gene therapy Aug 23, UX111 gene therapy Sep 19) and GTX-102 Phase 3 Angelman data in Sep/Oct.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.90
est $-1.00 · +10.0%
Revenue
$214.0M
est $183.1M · +16.9% · +28.1% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$730M-$760M
maintained

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 total revenue $214M, up 28% YoY from $167M
  • EPS -$0.90 vs consensus -$1.00 (10% beat) and vs -$1.17 YoY
  • Crysvita revenue $156M (+29% YoY), Dojolvi $27M (+17%), Evkeeza $21M (+50%), Mepsevii $10M (+11%)
  • Net loss narrowed to $92M from $115M YoY
  • Cash, equivalents, and marketable securities $436M at June 30, down from $737M at Dec 31, 2025
  • Reaffirmed FY2026 total revenue guidance $730M-$760M and combined R&D+SG&A expenses flat to slightly down vs 2025
  • Upcoming catalysts: DTX401 PDUFA Aug 23, UX111 PDUFA Sep 19, GTX-102 Phase 3 data in Sep/Oct
  • Net cash used in operations $97M in Q2

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $30.9M (17%) and EPS beat by $0.10 (10%) with gross margin of approximately 84%

revenueepsnet losscash

Risk Factors

  • Cash burn continues: cash dropped $301M from Dec 2025 to $436M, raising potential need for future financing
  • DTX401 and UX111 approvals not guaranteed; FDA could require additional data or manufacturing changes
  • GTX-102 Phase 3 Angelman syndrome readout is a high-risk binary event
  • Dependence on Kyowa Kirin for Crysvita commercialization and supply in major markets

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-332802
Document: 0001193125-26-332802-index.html0001193125-26-332802
Document: 0001193125-26-332802.txt0001193125-26-332802
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-332802
12 reports for RARE
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +48.73%Apr 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RARE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$14.85 $15.22▼ −2.49%▼ −3.68%$15.22 (−2.49%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.53 $15.03▼ −43.35%▼ −43.02%$15.22 (−42.63%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$26.80 $14.31▼ −46.60%▼ −45.55%$15.22 (−43.21%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.93 $26.53▲ +6.42%▲ +7.02%$15.22 (−38.95%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.81 $25.81· 0.00%▲ +1.24%$15.22 (−41.03%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.85 $32.03▲ +28.89%▲ +28.69%$15.22 (−38.75%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.98 $34.61▲ +44.33%▲ +42.44%$15.22 (−36.53%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.93 $22.41▲ +13.57%▲ +16.36%$15.22 (+41.30%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.77 $22.85▼ −7.75%▼ −13.04%$15.22 (−38.55%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$22.45 $24.69▲ +9.98%▲ +0.10%$15.22 (−32.20%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 20m)

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