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8-K ·Filed Sep 23, 2026

RAIN

Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001213900-26-102377
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Watch for the definitive agreement and shareholder information statement; the ~90% dilution to existing holders is extreme. Monitor Nasdaq's decision on RAIN's continued listing request and the PIPE financing's size and terms — the $25M minimum is a condition to closing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
RAIN ▼ -44.75% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +44.75% · α vs SPY +45.44% · entry $1.01 → $0.5580
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+22 +26.28% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 23, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.08%
$1.01
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-20.79%
call +20.79% · α +20.12%
$0.8000
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-44.75%
call +44.75% · α +45.44%
$0.5580
settled 7d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RAIN entered into a binding letter of intent for an all-stock business combination with Tensor Networks, a private AI infrastructure security company. Existing RAIN shareholders will retain only ~10% of the combined entity, with Tensor Networks holders receiving ~90%, representing massive dilution. The deal is subject to a minimum $25M PIPE financing, Nasdaq listing approval, and a definitive agreement by November 20, 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • All-stock business combination with Tensor Networks, a private AI infrastructure security company
  • Tensor Networks equity holders expected to own ~90% of combined company; RAIN existing shareholders retain ~10% (pre-PIPE dilution)
  • Minimum $25 million in gross proceeds from a PIPE financing is a condition to closing
  • RAIN's outstanding debt to be converted, restructured, or forgiven on mutually agreeable terms
  • Eric Frazier (Tensor Networks CEO) to become CEO of RAIN; Randy Seidl (current RAIN CEO) to become President
  • Transaction anticipated to close in Q1 2027; definitive agreement must be signed by November 20, 2026 or LOI can be terminated
  • RAIN insiders and Tensor Networks insiders subject to 18-month lock-up; Tensor Networks employees subject to 12-month lock-up
  • Nasdaq approval of RAIN's continued listing and combined company's initial listing application required
  • Harry You, RAIN's Chairman and >10% shareholder, is a party to the Binding LOI and agreed to pay certain Tensor Networks expenses if deal fails

Financial Impact

Existing RAIN shareholders diluted to ~10% of combined entity; minimum $25M PIPE financing required; RAIN's outstanding debt to be restructured or forgiven

dilutionownershipdebt

Risk Factors

  • Extreme dilution: existing RAIN shareholders retain only ~10% of the combined company
  • Transaction may not close — subject to due diligence, definitive agreement, Nasdaq approval, and PIPE financing
  • RAIN's Nasdaq listing is at risk — pending request for continued listing and new listing application required
  • RAIN debt restructuring terms are undefined and could add further dilution
  • No pre-money equity value for Tensor Networks has been determined

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-102377
Document: ea030636501ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-102377
Document: 0001213900-26-102377-index-headers.html0001213900-26-102377
Document: 0001213900-26-102377-index.html0001213900-26-102377
Document: 0001213900-26-102377.txt0001213900-26-102377
4 reports for RAIN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +55.56%Jul 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RAIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.01 $0.5580▲ +44.75%▲ +45.44%$0.5750 (+43.07%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $0.9199▲ +40.65%▲ +45.10%$0.5750 (+62.90%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $0.9199▲ +40.65%▲ +45.10%$0.5750 (+62.90%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.98 $1.35▲ +31.81%▲ +29.62%$0.5750 (+70.96%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 4m)

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Report published Sep 23, 2026