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424B5 ·Filed Jul 16, 2026

RAIN

Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-078718
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ATM offering signals that RAIN is burning cash and needs to raise capital to fund operations, likely to extend its runway past the August 17, 2026 Nasdaq compliance deadline. The dilutive overhang and delisting risk are significant headwinds. Traders should monitor the pace of ATM sales via subsequent 8-K filings and any news regarding the Nasdaq compliance status. The stock is likely to face continued selling pressure as the ATM is executed.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RAIN ▼ -55.56% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +55.56% · α vs SPY +60.24% · entry $1.55 → $0.6888
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+16.13%
call -16.13% · α -16.29%
$1.80
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.87%
call +3.87% · α +3.18%
$1.49
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-40.65%
call +40.65% · α +45.10%
$0.9199
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-55.56%
call +55.56% · α +60.24%
$0.6888
settled 19d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RAIN filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for an at-the-market (ATM) offering of up to $3,513,524 in Class A common stock through Needham & Company. The offering is a takedown from a $25M shelf registration filed 16 days prior. Proceeds are for working capital and general corporate purposes. The company is pre-revenue, has a $17M market cap, is at risk of Nasdaq delisting for failing the $35M market value of listed securities rule, and has a net tangible book deficit of $(14.3)M. The ATM creates immediate dilution of $2.52 per share for new investors at the assumed price of $1.93, representing a 21% increase in the share count from the current 10.3M shares outstanding. This is a dilutive capital raise for a distressed micro-cap with no revenue and a delisting overhang.

Key Facts

  • RAIN filed a 424B5 for an ATM offering of up to $3,513,524 in Class A common stock through Needham & Company.
  • The offering is a takedown from a $25M shelf registration (S-3) filed on June 30, 2026.
  • As of June 26, 2026, RAIN had 10,283,984 shares outstanding; the ATM could add up to 1,820,479 shares (17.7% dilution) at the assumed $1.93 price.
  • The company has a net tangible book deficit of $(14.3) million as of March 31, 2026, or $(1.77) per share.
  • New investors face immediate dilution of $2.52 per share at the assumed offering price.
  • RAIN received a Nasdaq deficiency notice on February 18, 2026, for failing the $35M market value of listed securities rule, with a cure period ending August 17, 2026.
  • The company is pre-revenue, an emerging growth company, and a smaller reporting company with a $17M market cap.
  • Proceeds are for working capital, capital expenditures, and general corporate purposes.

Financial Impact

Up to $3,513,524 in gross proceeds from the ATM offering, with net proceeds after 3.0% sales agent commission and ~$194,735 in estimated expenses. The offering represents ~21% of the current market cap of $17M and would increase the share count by up to 17.7%.

dilutionshare countcash

Risk Factors

  • Nasdaq delisting risk if the market value of listed securities does not reach $35M by August 17, 2026.
  • Immediate and substantial dilution to existing shareholders from the ATM offering.
  • Pre-revenue business with no clear path to profitability; cash burn may require further dilutive financing.
  • Low market cap ($17M) and low public float ($10.5M) make the stock highly volatile and susceptible to price manipulation.
  • 5,000,000 outstanding warrants with an $11.50 exercise price are deeply out of the money and represent additional potential dilution.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-078718
Document: 0001213900-26-078718-index-headers.html0001213900-26-078718
Document: 0001213900-26-078718-index.html0001213900-26-078718
Document: 0001213900-26-078718.txt0001213900-26-078718
4 reports for RAIN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +55.56%Jul 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RAIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.01 $0.5580▲ +44.75%▲ +45.44%$0.5750 (+43.07%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $0.9199▲ +40.65%▲ +45.10%$0.5750 (+62.90%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $0.9199▲ +40.65%▲ +45.10%$0.5750 (+62.90%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.98 $1.35▲ +31.81%▲ +29.62%$0.5750 (+70.96%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 6m)

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Report published Jul 16, 2026