Institutional Cluster

PVLA

PALVELLA THERAPEUTICS, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, likely reflecting PVLA's inclusion in or rebalancing of major indices. This provides no fundamental thesis signal. Monitor for active manager 13F filings in the same period to assess genuine conviction. The 96% analyst bullish consensus suggests the passive accumulation may simply track broader market optimism.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PVLA ▲ +47.81% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +47.81% · α vs SPY +43.41% · entry $106.38 → $157.24
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.28%
call +2.28% · α +1.74%
$108.81
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+5.88%
call +5.88% · α +5.44%
$112.63
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+41.98%
call +41.98% · α +40.09%
$151.04
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+47.81%
call +47.81% · α +43.41%
$157.24
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (Vanguard, State Street, Fidelity) significantly increased their PVLA holdings in Q3 2025, with combined current positions of $46.5M and net buying of $41.0M. The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, reflecting index rebalancing or inclusion rather than an active investment thesis, which weakens the signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$46.5M
Net Flow
$41.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $41.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardDOUBLED+202%$31.0M$27.3M
State StreetADD+67.4%$8.6M$6.8M
FidelityDOUBLED+108180.4%$6.9M$6.9M

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2025
  • Aggregate current holdings: $46.5M, net change: +$41.0M
  • Vanguard doubled its position (+202%) to $31.0M
  • State Street added 67.4% to $8.6M
  • Fidelity went from a nominal 102 shares to 110.4K shares ($6.9M)
  • All three buyers are mega-passive index fund managers (Vanguard, State Street, Fidelity)

Financial Impact

3 passive institutions accumulated $41.0M in new PVLA holdings during Q3 2025, bringing total disclosed passive positions to $46.5M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive buying provides no fundamental validation of the company's prospects
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Historical PVLA reports show poor directional accuracy (43% win rate T+20)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
96% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-PVLA-2025-Q3
24 reports for PVLA
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +35.07%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PVLA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$155.47 $132.47▼ −14.79%▼ −13.61%—
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$152.22 $157.00▲ +3.14%▲ +4.05%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$151.99 $150.55▼ −0.95%▲ +0.29%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$150.19 $150.33▲ +0.09%▼ −3.87%—
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$142.84 $148.24▲ +3.78%▲ +0.40%—
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$152.82 $141.77▼ −7.23%▼ −6.20%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$118.84 $157.24▲ +32.31%▲ +32.46%—
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$110.12 $149.68▲ +35.92%▲ +35.72%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.38 $151.04▲ +41.98%▲ +40.09%—
May 15, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$114.24 $116.51▲ +1.99%▼ −0.13%—
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (63h 46m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026