8-K ·Filed Apr 6, 2026

PSX

Phillips 66
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001534701-26-000015
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor final Q1 2026 results for confirmation of mark-to-market impacts and liquidity usage; the sharp increase in commodity prices has created a headwind despite stable operations, and the new term loan increases near-term leverage.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PSX ▲ +0.98% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.98% · α vs SPY +12.29% · entry $174.70 → $176.42
Entry anchored
Apr 6, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-3.84%
call +3.84% · α +6.37%
$168.00
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.12%
call +9.12% · α +14.45%
$158.76
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+2.16%
call -2.16% · α +7.62%
$178.47
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+0.98%
call -0.98% · α +12.29%
$176.42
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Phillips 66 issued preliminary Q1 2026 guidance citing $900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses due to rising commodity prices, with estimated segment losses in Refining, Marketing & Specialties, and Renewable Fuels. The company drew down liquidity measures including a $2.25B term loan to manage cash collateral outflows.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q1 2026 results impacted by ~$900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses due to rising commodity prices
  • Refining segment to report $350-450M in mark-to-market losses, Marketing & Specialties $300-400M, Renewable Fuels $100-200M
  • Company faced ~$3B cash collateral outflow on derivatives, leading to drawdowns on credit lines and a new $2.25B 364-day term loan
  • Guidance shows Midstream earnings $550-600M, Refining loss $400-200M, Marketing & Specialties loss $170-20M, and Chemicals $80-130M

Financial Impact

Approximately $900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses impacting Q1 2026 results, with significant cash collateral outflows of ~$3B

epsrevenueliquiditydebtcashFlow

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility continues to create mark-to-market headwinds despite economic hedging
  • Increased leverage from new $2.25B term loan and potential for further collateral calls if prices rise

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Petroleum Refining

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001534701-26-000015
Document: psx-20260406.htm0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015-index-headers.html0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015-index.html0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015.txt0001534701-26-000015
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001534701-26-000015
13 reports for PSX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +26.43%Aug 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PSX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$246.58 $252.25▲ +2.30%▲ +2.49%$264.58 (+7.30%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$232.61 $259.47▲ +11.55%▲ +13.29%$264.58 (+13.74%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$232.61 $259.47▲ +11.55%▲ +13.29%$264.58 (+13.74%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$224.36 $260.78▲ +16.23%▲ +17.29%$264.58 (+17.93%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$202.55 $256.09▲ +26.43%▲ +27.03%$264.58 (+30.62%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$179.34 $166.14▼ −7.36%▼ −8.10%$264.58 (+47.53%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$179.34 $166.14▼ −7.36%▼ −8.10%$264.58 (+47.53%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$175.43 $181.72▲ +3.59%▲ +5.31%$264.58 (+50.82%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$172.24 $176.71▲ +2.60%▼ −3.45%$264.58 (+53.61%)
Apr 6, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$174.70 $178.47▼ −2.16%▲ +7.62%$264.58 (−51.45%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 1m)

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