425 ·Filed Jul 20, 2026

PSNL

Personalis, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-309106
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor Tempus (TEM) stock price as it determines actual consideration for PSNL holders. Key milestones: filing of S-4, stockholder vote, and HSR clearance. If TEM stays above $48.42, PSNL holders benefit from stock upside; if it falls below $46, PSNL can walk away. The deal appears well-structured with Merck support, but regulatory risk remains.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
PSNL ▲ +3.50% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.50% · α vs SPY +0.94% · entry $13.44 → $13.91
Next anchor: T+60d in 11d
Latest observation: T+49 -33.93% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 20, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-7.22%
call -7.22% · α -7.10%
$12.47
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-10.86%
call -10.86% · α -9.63%
$11.98
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.50%
call +3.50% · α +0.94%
$13.91
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 11d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Personalis (PSNL) entered into a definitive merger agreement with Tempus AI (TEM) on July 20, 2026. PSNL shareholders will receive $16.25 per share in Tempus stock (variable exchange ratio, floored at 0.3356 if TEM ≤ $48.42), with Tempus having the option to pay cash for up to 50% of shares. Merck, holding ~13% of PSNL, has agreed to vote in favor. The deal is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027, subject to stockholder approval, HSR clearance, and other conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Definitive merger agreement with Tempus AI: PSNL shareholders receive $16.25 per share in Tempus stock (exchange ratio variable with floor of 0.3356).
  • Tempus may elect to pay cash for up to 50% of outstanding PSNL shares at $16.25 per share.
  • Merck (~13% holder) entered into a voting agreement to support the deal.
  • Mutual termination fee of approximately $76.8 million each way.
  • PSNL has the right to terminate if Tempus stock price falls below $46.00 (Lower Floor Price).
  • Closing conditions include stockholder approval, HSR clearance, S-4 effectiveness, and tax opinion.

Financial Impact

Consideration valued at $16.25 per share (~6% premium to prior close, 28% premium to 30-day VWAP per prior analysis); total enterprise value ~$1.5B.

stock pricedeal considerationdilution

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder approval may fail (though Merck's 13% vote helps).
  • Antitrust (HSR) clearance could be delayed or blocked.
  • Tempus stock price decline below $46 could lead to PSNL termination.
  • Integration risk and potential business disruption post-close.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Medical Laboratories
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-309106
Document: 0001193125-26-309106-index-headers.html0001193125-26-309106
Document: 0001193125-26-309106-index.html0001193125-26-309106
Document: 0001193125-26-309106.txt0001193125-26-309106
14 reports for PSNL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +14.48%Aug 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PSNL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.50 $16.60▲ +14.48%▲ +15.40%$16.28 (+12.28%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.44 $13.91▲ +3.50%▲ +0.94%$16.28 (+21.13%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$13.44 $13.91▲ +3.50%▲ +0.94%$16.28 (+21.13%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.34 $13.89▲ +4.12%▲ +0.00%$16.28 (+22.04%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.34 $13.89▲ +4.12%▲ +0.00%$16.28 (+22.04%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$15.58 $14.42▼ −7.45%▼ −11.06%$16.28 (+4.49%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.40 $11.98▼ −10.60%▼ −9.57%$16.28 (+21.49%)
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.75 $11.78▼ −14.33%▼ −14.05%$16.28 (+18.40%)
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.75 $11.78▼ −14.33%▼ −14.05%$16.28 (+18.40%)
Jun 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.04 $14.34▲ +42.83%▲ +41.20%$16.28 (+62.15%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 16m)

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