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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 24, 2026

PICS

PicPay Payment Institution S/A
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The strong operational beat (revenue +67%, net income +135%) and above-guidance credit portfolio growth are positive, but the large EPS miss vs consensus ($1.31 vs $1.96) creates confusion and may weigh on the ADR. Monitor the conference call for clarification on the EPS metric and any updates on the Kovr acquisition integration. The Q3 guidance implies continued strong growth, which could support the stock if the EPS confusion is resolved.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
PICS ▼ -10.51% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -10.51% · α vs SPY -11.75% · entry $10.85 → $9.71
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +40.28% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.21%
call -2.21% · α -2.23%
$10.61
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-1.01%
call -1.01% · α -0.47%
$10.74
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-10.51%
call -10.51% · α -11.75%
$9.71
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

PicPay reported Q2 2026 net revenue of R$4.1B (+67% YoY) and adjusted net income of R$283M (+135% YoY), both exceeding guidance. However, the consensus EPS estimate of $1.96 was based on a different reporting convention; the Street-quoted EPS for the prior quarter was $0.27, and the company reported IFRS net income of ~R$283M, translating to a much lower EPS. The credit portfolio reached R$31.9B, above guidance, and Q3 guidance projects continued growth with adjusted net income of ~R$265M. The strong operational beat is offset by the EPS miss vs consensus, creating a mixed picture for traders focused on the ADR.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.31
est $1.96 · -33.2%
Rating
miss
Guidance
R$4.04B (managerial revenues)
initiated

Key Facts

  • Net revenue of R$4.1B, up 67% YoY, exceeding guidance.
  • Adjusted net income of R$283M, up 135% YoY, above guidance.
  • Total credit portfolio reached R$31.9B, exceeding ~R$31.0B guidance.
  • ARPAC reached R$92.0, 52% YoY growth, more than 4x cost to serve.
  • Q3 2026 guidance: adjusted net income ~R$265M, credit portfolio ~R$34.7B.
  • EPS of $1.31 missed consensus estimate of $1.96 by 33.3%, but this appears to be a different metric than the Street-quoted EPS.
  • Non-credit revenues grew 57% YoY to R$1.9B; secured/partially secured credit revenues grew 158% YoY to R$1.0B.
  • Quarterly cost of risk was 3.9%, within targeted range.
  • Completed acquisition of Kovr during the quarter.

Financial Impact

Net revenue R$4.1B (+67% YoY); adjusted net income R$283M (+135% YoY); credit portfolio R$31.9B (+99% YoY)

revenuenet incomecredit portfolioARPACcost of risk

Risk Factors

  • EPS miss vs consensus of 33.3% could drive short-term selling pressure.
  • Brazilian real (BRL) to USD exchange rate volatility impacts ADR values.
  • Credit portfolio growth at 99% YoY raises potential for higher future credit losses.
  • Integration risk from the Kovr acquisition.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Personal Credit Institutions
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3350133
16 reports for PICS
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +24.57%Jun 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PICS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.28awaiting T+20—$8.78 (−33.89%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.85 $9.71▼ −10.51%▼ −11.75%$8.78 (−19.08%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$10.85 $9.71▼ −10.51%▼ −11.75%$8.78 (−19.08%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$10.27awaiting T+20—$8.78 (−14.51%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.94 $10.60▼ −3.11%▼ −2.05%$8.78 (−19.74%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.13 $10.61▲ +12.53%▲ +17.55%$8.78 (+27.62%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
6-K / PRESS-RELEASE
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.85 $10.60▼ −10.55%▼ −14.17%$8.78 (−25.91%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82 $11.81▲ +9.15%▲ +9.90%$8.78 (−18.85%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$9.40 $11.58▲ +23.19%▲ +19.57%$8.78 (−6.60%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$9.40 $11.58▲ +23.19%▲ +19.57%$8.78 (−6.60%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Aug 24, 2026