8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

PG

PROCTER & GAMBLE Co
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000080424-26-000093
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The flat organic sales and 15% GAAP EPS drop reflect weakening underlying demand and cost pressure. FY2027 guidance for core EPS growth of just 0-3% and heavy headwinds suggests continued compression. Monitor consumer spending trends, tariff adjustments, and margin recovery; the stock is likely to trade defensively but lacks near-term catalysts.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
PG ▼ -0.76% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.76% · α vs SPY +5.78% · entry $146.10 → $145.00
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -7.94% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 06:56 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.46%
call +1.46% · α +3.14%
$143.96
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.48%
call -0.48% · α +5.05%
$146.80
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-0.76%
call +0.76% · α +5.78%
$145.00
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

PG reported Q4 fiscal 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $1.26, down 15% YoY, with core EPS of $1.43 down 3% (in-line with consensus of $1.41). Net sales rose 2% to $21.2B but organic sales were flat (0%), reflecting zero volume growth. FY2027 core EPS guidance of $6.89-$7.11 implies 0-3% growth, with a midpoint of $7.00, as $1B+ in raw material, tariff, and reinvestment headwinds offset modest productivity. The sequential deterioration from Q3 and guarded outlook highlight persistent margin compression and sluggish topline.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.43
est $1.41 · +1.4%
Revenue
$21.2B
est $21.4B · -0.8% · +2.0% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
+1% to +3% all-in sales growth
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$15.8B
Gross Margin
48.5%

Key Facts

  • Q4 GAAP diluted EPS $1.26 (-15% YoY); Core EPS $1.43 (-3% YoY)
  • Q4 net sales $21.2B (+2%); organic sales 0% (volume neutral, pricing neutral)
  • Q4 operating income $3.95B (-9%); reported operating margin -220 bps YoY; core -130 bps
  • Q4 gross margin -60 bps reported; core gross margin unchanged (productivity offset reinvestment and mix)
  • FY2026 full-year: net sales $87.0B (+3%), GAAP EPS $6.62 (+2%), Core EPS $6.89 (+1%)
  • FY2027 guidance: all-in sales growth +1% to +3%; core EPS growth 0% to +3% ($6.89-$7.11 range)
  • FY2027 headwinds: ~$1B raw material/energy, $150M net interest, $150M lower non-op income, $50M FX (~$0.56/share drag)
  • PG expects $10B in dividends and ~$5B share repurchases in FY2027

Financial Impact

Q4 GAAP net income down 16% to $3.04B; core EPS down 3% vs prior year. FY2027 guidance implies 1-3% top-line growth but 0-3% core EPS growth, with cost headwinds of ~$1B after-tax.

revenueepsgross marginoperating margin

Risk Factors

  • Persistent raw material and supply chain cost inflation (~$1B FY2027 headwind)
  • Tariff exposure and geopolitical uncertainty weighing on margins
  • Volume decline in Health Care, Baby/Feminine/Family Care segments
  • Elevated reinvestment spending (marketing, innovation) pressuring near-term margins

Market Snapshot

Price
$145.16
Change
-2.5%
Volume
100
Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (37 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000080424-26-000093
Document: pg-20260729.htm0000080424-26-000093
Document: 0000080424-26-000093-index-headers.html0000080424-26-000093
Document: 0000080424-26-000093-index.html0000080424-26-000093
Document: 0000080424-26-000093.txt0000080424-26-000093
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000080424-26-000093
15 reports for PG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.55%Jun 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$143.78 $149.03▲ +3.65%▲ +3.14%$144.60 (+0.57%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$143.14 $145.78▲ +1.84%▲ +1.95%$144.60 (+1.02%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$146.60 $148.22▲ +1.10%▼ −0.21%$144.60 (−1.37%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$146.60 $148.22▲ +1.10%▼ −0.21%$144.60 (−1.37%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$146.60 $148.22▲ +1.10%▼ −0.21%$144.60 (−1.37%)
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$145.64 $146.44▼ −0.55%▼ −0.95%$144.60 (+0.72%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$143.96 $143.11▲ +0.59%▲ +4.56%$144.60 (−0.44%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$146.10 $145.00▼ −0.76%▼ −5.78%$144.60 (−1.03%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$146.10 $145.00▲ +0.76%▲ +5.78%$144.60 (+1.03%)
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$149.61 $147.04▼ −1.72%▼ −3.50%$144.60 (−3.35%)
Showing 10 of 15

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