ANALYST-UPGRADE

PFE

PFIZER INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Processed3mo ago SECanalyst-PFE-rbccapit-20260610
RBC Capital double upgrade: Underperform → Sector Perform
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The double upgrade removes a major bearish outlier but does not offer a new upside catalyst. Traders should treat this as a neutral-to-slightly-positive signal; the unchanged target and mixed institutional/short interest data argue against chasing the stock until a clearer fundamental catalyst emerges.

DirectionNeutral
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PFE ▲ +12.52% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +12.52% · α vs SPY +5.94% · entry $25.60 → $28.81
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 11:15 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.23%
call +2.23% · α +0.53%
$26.17
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+1.72%
call +1.72% · α -1.71%
$26.04
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.27%
call -5.27% · α -8.90%
$24.25
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+12.52%
call +12.52% · α +5.94%
$28.81
settled 28d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RBC Capital double-upgraded Pfizer from Underperform to Sector Perform, maintaining a $25 price target, which sits roughly 3% below the current price of $25.70. The upgrade reflects a less bearish view, though the unchanged target indicates limited near-term upside conviction. Consensus is deeply mixed at 42% Buy, 50% Hold, and 8% Sell across 36 analysts, with a mean target of $29.19 offering 13.6% implied upside. The median target is $28, while the low is $24, placing RBC's target at the bottom quartile. RBC's historical accuracy is 55% on over 4,100 calls with a 2.7% average return — above average among covering firms but not top tier. Analyst activity over the past 30 days shows only this upgrade and no downgrades, while EPS revisions are roughly balanced (30-day: 7 up/7 down for the next quarter, 12 up/7 down for the fiscal year). No insider trades were reported, and short interest is elevated at a 55.4% ratio. The double-upgrade from a previously bearish firm is a modest positive signal, but the unchanged target and mixed cross-platform data temper conviction. For active traders, the call is a tactical neutral-to-slightly-positive signal rather than a strong directional catalyst.

Impact Score

Base Score
1/7
LLM Adjustment
+1
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
15 (42%)
Hold
18
Sell / Strong Sell
3
Total Analysts
27
Mean PT
$29.19
Median PT
$28.00
High PT
$36.00
Low PT
$24.00
Current Price
$25.70
Implied Upside
+13.6%

Among 36 analysts covering PFE, the breakdown is 6 Strong Buy, 9 Buy, 18 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. That translates to 42% Buy-ratings, 50% Hold, and 8% Sell. The consensus leans neutral with a notable bearish tail, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about Pfizer's growth drivers post-COVID.

The current price is $25.70. The mean price target is $29.19, median $28, high $36, and low $24. Implied upside to the mean is 13.6%. RBC's $25 target is below the mean and median, and just above the consensus low—placing it among the most bearish targets on the Street.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-06-10RBC CapitalupgradeSector Perform$25.00
2026-04-29CitigroupmaintainNeutral$27.00
2026-04-20RBC CapitalreiterateUnderperform$25.00
2026-04-16CICCinitiateOutperform$33.00
2026-04-13UBSmaintainNeutral$27.00
2026-04-10Morgan StanleymaintainEqual-Weight$28.00
2026-04-09B of A SecuritiesmaintainNeutral$26.00
2026-03-24GuggenheimmaintainBuy—
2026-03-17HSBCmaintainBuy—
2026-03-02Argus ResearchupgradeBuy—

Over the past 30 days, analyst activity shows 1 upgrade (RBC) and 0 downgrades. EPS revision trends are mixed: over the last 30 days, the next-quarter EPS saw 7 upward and 7 downward revisions, while the fiscal-year EPS had 12 up and 7 down. Estimates are roughly stable, with a slight positive tilt for longer horizons.

Firm Track Record — RBC Capital

RBC Capital accuracy: 55% on 4173 calls | avg return: 2.7%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 7 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Morgan Stanley71%5/74.2%top tier
B of A Securities67%2/3-0.1%top tier
Cantor Fitzgerald59%10/171.8%above average
Citigroup50%1/2-5%below average
Barclays50%1/2-1.2%below average
Guggenheim40%2/5-1.4%below average
UBS40%2/5-2.7%below average

RBC Capital has a 55% accuracy rate (2,282 correct calls out of 4,173 scored) with an average return of 2.7% on its rated stocks. This is above-average among firms covering PFE, where the top tier includes Morgan Stanley (71% on 7 calls) and BofA Securities (67% on 3 calls), while the weakest are Guggenheim (40%) and UBS (40%). RBC's accuracy is solid but not standout, so the double upgrade carries moderate weight.

Earnings Estimates

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q$0.85$0.65 — $0.96$16.1B↑1 ↓0
+1y$2.84$2.43 — $3.10$59.3B↑1 ↓0
0q$0.68$0.61 — $0.76$14.4B↑1 ↓0
0y$2.96$2.80 — $3.12$61.7B↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — exit (-100%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (2734.9%)
Short Interest
Short: 8,875,058 | Exempt: 57,210 | TRF Vol: 16,014,448 | Short Ratio: 55.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

No insider trades were recorded. Congressman Ro Khanna reported a small buy ($1K-$15K). Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank both initiated and exited large positions, Two Sigma more than doubled its stake (up 2,735%), Renaissance Technologies exited entirely, and Cullen Capital trimmed 38%. Short interest is elevated at 55.4% of volume, indicating significant bearish positioning. The lack of insider buying alongside an upgrade from a previously bearish firm creates a divergence; the high short interest could fuel a squeeze but also reflects persistent skepticism.

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

16 reports for PFE
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate 5 of 7 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +12.36%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PFE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$26.80 $27.72▲ +3.43%▲ +5.18%$27.59 (+2.95%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$26.80 $27.72▲ +3.43%▲ +5.18%$27.59 (+2.95%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.80 $27.72▲ +3.43%▲ +5.18%$27.59 (+2.95%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$26.20 $28.81▲ +9.95%▲ +9.35%$27.59 (+5.31%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.20 $28.81▲ +9.95%▲ +9.35%$27.59 (+5.31%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.41 $28.55▲ +12.36%▲ +13.60%$27.59 (+8.58%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$25.01 $27.96▼ −11.80%▼ −8.81%$27.59 (−10.32%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$24.54 $28.07▲ +14.38%▲ +10.76%$27.59 (+12.43%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$23.72 $25.01▼ −5.44%▼ −6.00%$27.59 (−16.32%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.21 $25.14▼ −0.28%▼ −0.81%$27.59 (+9.44%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Jun 10, 2026