8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

PEG

PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-205254
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat vs consensus ($1.55 vs $0.83) is likely to drive a strong positive reaction, but note the consensus figure appears to be a GAAP estimate while PSEG's Street convention is non-GAAP Operating Earnings. The maintained guidance and 15th consecutive dividend increase reinforce the steady-growth narrative. Monitor the earnings call for updates on nuclear output hedging and PJM capacity auction impacts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PEG ▼ -2.73% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.73% · α vs SPY -5.47% · entry $79.73 → $77.55
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.48%
call -0.48% · α -1.86%
$79.35
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.57%
call -2.57% · α -4.56%
$77.68
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.77%
call -1.77% · α -6.72%
$78.32
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-2.73%
call -2.73% · α -5.47%
$77.55
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

PSEG reported Q1 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings of $1.55 per share, significantly above the consensus estimate of $0.83, driven by strong PSE&G utility earnings and higher realized nuclear prices. The company maintained its full-year 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share, representing ~7% growth over 2025, and continues to execute on a $24B-$28B capital plan through 2030 without equity issuance.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.55
est $0.83 · +86.8%
Revenue
$3.8B
est $2.7B · +44.7% · +19.4% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings of $1.55 per share vs $1.43 in Q1 2025, a YoY increase of 8.4%
  • Q1 2026 Net Income of $1.48 per share vs $1.18 in Q1 2025, a YoY increase of 25.4%
  • Maintained 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share
  • PSE&G segment contributed $577M in Net Income/Operating Earnings, up from $546M in Q1 2025
  • PSEG Power & Other segment contributed $201M in non-GAAP Operating Earnings, up from $172M in Q1 2025
  • Regulated investment of ~$0.8 billion in Q1; full-year capital spending plan of ~$4.2 billion on track
  • PSEG raised 2026 indicative annual common dividend by $0.16 per share to $2.68 per share, the 15th consecutive annual increase
  • PSEG Nuclear achieved a capacity factor of 95.5% for the quarter
  • Long-term non-GAAP Operating Earnings growth target of 6%-8% through 2030 maintained
  • Total PSEG capital program of $24B-$28B for 2026-2030, >90% regulated investments

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings of $1.55 per share vs consensus $0.83 — an 86.1% beat. Full-year guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share implies ~7% YoY growth at the midpoint.

epsrevenueguidancedividend

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory risk from New Jersey Board of Public Utilities rate decisions and potential affordability mandates
  • Nuclear generation volume and pricing risk, including PTC threshold exposure
  • Higher interest expense and depreciation from increased capital spending could pressure margins
  • Weather-related operational risks and storm recovery costs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electric & Other Services Combined
Analyst Consensus
44% bullish (27 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-205254
Document: d63722d8k.htm0001193125-26-205254
Document: d63722dex991.htm0001193125-26-205254
Document: 0001193125-26-205254-index-headers.html0001193125-26-205254
Document: 0001193125-26-205254-index.html0001193125-26-205254
Document: 0001193125-26-205254.txt0001193125-26-205254
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-205254
6 reports for PEG
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for PEG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$76.27 $73.48▼ −3.66%▼ −2.42%$68.46 (−10.24%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$76.27 $73.48▼ −3.66%▼ −2.42%$68.46 (−10.24%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.62 $77.55▼ −4.99%▼ −4.57%$68.46 (−16.12%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$78.32 $80.27▲ +2.49%▲ +4.05%$68.46 (−12.59%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.67 $81.16▲ +5.86%▲ +7.15%$68.46 (−10.71%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.73 $78.32▼ −1.77%▼ −6.72%$68.46 (−14.14%)
Showing 6 of 6

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