The 2026 EBITDA guidance of $60M–$70M is the key bullish signal, implying a major earnings inflection from 2025's $27M. Monitor Q1 2026 results for confirmation of cost synergies and production ramp-up from the Juniper assets. The stock may react positively to the guidance despite the GAAP loss.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
PEDEVCO reported full-year 2025 revenue of $45.75M (+16% YoY) but a net loss of $10.36M, driven by $7.5M in merger-related costs and $8.1M in deferred tax expenses from the Juniper Merger. Despite the loss, Adjusted EBITDA rose 18% to $27.02M, and the company issued strong 2026 guidance of $60M–$70M Adjusted EBITDA, signaling confidence in post-merger integration and earnings recovery.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Full-year 2025 revenue: $45.75M (+16% YoY)
- Net loss: $10.36M (vs. $12.29M net income in 2024)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $27.02M (+18% YoY)
- 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance: $60M–$70M
- Juniper Merger added 14.0 MMBoe of proved reserves, doubling total to 32.1 MMBoe
Financial Impact
Revenue up 16%, but net loss of $10.36M due to one-time merger and tax costs; Adjusted EBITDA grew 18% to $27.02M; 2026 EBITDA guidance implies ~150% growth
Risk Factors
- Execution risk in integrating Juniper assets and realizing cost synergies
- Commodity price volatility (guidance assumes $65/bbl oil)
- High leverage with $87M credit facility drawn against $375.9M in total assets
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| 8-K Filing (Primary) | 0001654954-26-003099 |
| Document: ped_8k.htm | 0001654954-26-003099 |
| Document: 0001654954-26-003099-index-headers.html | 0001654954-26-003099 |
| Document: 0001654954-26-003099-index.html | 0001654954-26-003099 |
| Document: 0001654954-26-003099.txt | 0001654954-26-003099 |
| 8-K Data (Synthetic) | 0001654954-26-003099 |
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 13, 2026 14d ago | SC 13D/A | $13.25 $14.24 | ▲ +7.47% | ▲ +8.62% | $15.53 (+17.21%) |
Sep 21, 2026 5w ago | 8-K | $13.38 $13.10 | ▼ −2.09% | ▼ −1.07% | $15.53 (+16.07%) |
Sep 16, 2026 5w ago | 8-K | $15.49 $13.26 | ▼ −14.40% | ▼ −16.96% | $15.53 (+0.26%) |
Sep 9, 2026 6w ago | EFFECT | $14.65 $16.74 | ▲ +14.23% | ▲ +14.57% | $15.53 (+6.01%) |
Aug 28, 2026 8w ago | 8-K | $13.61 $14.65 | ▲ +7.64% | ▲ +7.78% | $15.53 (+14.11%) |
Jul 24, 2026 13w ago | 8-K | $11.50 $10.81 | ▼ −6.00% | ▼ −7.07% | $15.53 (+35.04%) |
Jun 29, 2026 17w ago | 8-K | $14.99 $12.52 | ▼ −16.48% | ▼ −17.86% | $15.53 (+3.60%) |
Mar 31, 2026 29w ago | 8-K | $16.25 $16.02 | ▼ −1.42% | ▼ −5.18% | $15.53 (−4.43%) |
Mar 3, 2026 33w ago | 8-K | $11.76 $16.00 | ▲ +36.05% | ▲ +37.39% | $15.53 (+32.06%) |
Mar 3, 2026 33w ago | 8-K | $13.84 $13.26 | ▼ −4.19% | ▼ −3.71% | $15.53 (+12.21%) |
US Market Status
Subscribe to SecBot
Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence
Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.
Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers