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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Oct 4, 2026

PCVX

Vaxcyte, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed23d 8h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · FDA
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The October 5 webcast is the key catalyst. Investors should watch for immunogenicity non-inferiority vs Prevnar 20 and safety profile. The stock will likely gap significantly on the data release — position accordingly before the event.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
PCVX ▼ -4.29% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -4.29% · α vs SPY -4.72% · entry $73.82 → $70.65
Next anchor: T+20d in 2d
Latest observation: T+14 -13.47% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.65%
call -9.65% · α -10.19%
$66.70
settled 23d ago
T+5d
-4.29%
call -4.29% · α -4.72%
$70.65
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 2d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vaxcyte announced it will host a webcast on October 5, 2026 to present topline Phase 3 data from the OPUS-1 trial of VAX-31, its 31-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine candidate. This is a binary catalyst event — positive data could transform the company's valuation as VAX-31 is the broadest-spectrum PCV in the clinic, while negative data would be a major setback for a clinical-stage company with no approved products.

Key Facts

  • Topline data from the OPUS-1 adult pivotal Phase 3 trial of VAX-31 will be presented on October 5, 2026 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
  • VAX-31 is a 31-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine candidate designed to prevent invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumococcal pneumonia.
  • Vaxcyte is a clinical-stage company with no approved products — VAX-31 is its lead candidate.
  • The company also has VAX-24 (24-valent PCV, positive Phase 2 results in adults and infants), VAX-XL (earlier-stage), VAX-A1 (Group A Strep, Phase 1), and VAX-GI (Shigella, preclinical).

Financial Impact

Binary catalyst — positive Phase 3 data could drive substantial upside (8-15%+ CAR typical for early-stage biotech approvals); negative data would be severely bearish (20-50%+ decline likely for single-asset company). No financial figures provided in the release.

market capitalizationpipeline valuation

Risk Factors

  • Phase 3 data may fail to meet non-inferiority endpoints vs standard-of-care PCVs.
  • Safety signals could emerge that delay or prevent approval.
  • As a clinical-stage company with no approved products, a negative readout would severely impair the stock.
  • Manufacturing or CMC issues could arise despite positive efficacy data.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3374145
21 reports for PCVX
Performance horizon
43% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 7 best @ T+5▲ +10.87%Oct 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PCVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$70.65 $63.68▲ +9.87%▲ +8.37%$60.67 (+14.13%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$71.38 $63.62▲ +10.87%▲ +8.90%$60.67 (+15.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$71.38 $63.62▲ +10.87%▲ +8.90%$60.67 (+15.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$66.70 $66.80▲ +0.15%▲ +0.29%$60.67 (−9.04%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$66.70 $66.80▼ −0.15%▼ −0.29%$60.67 (+9.04%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Oct 4, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 8/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.89 $58.86▼ −0.05%▼ −1.26%$60.67 (+3.02%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$60.67 $56.21▼ −7.35%▼ −7.90%$60.67 (−0.00%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published Oct 4, 2026