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8-K ·Filed Oct 9, 2026

PCVX

Vaxcyte, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed18d 5h ago SEC0001193125-26-419174
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive capital raise (~$1.075B) following positive Phase 3 data signals aggressive preparation for commercial launch of VAX-31. The dilutive equity component (~7.4M shares at $64.00) and convertible note overhang (~$575M at $89.60 conversion) create near-term pressure on PCVX stock. Monitor upcoming OPUS-2 and OPUS-3 topline data for VAX-31 and the company's cash burn rate.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
PCVX ▼ -9.87% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +9.87% · α vs SPY +8.37% · entry $70.65 → $63.68
Next anchor: T+20d in 9d
Latest observation: T+9 +14.33% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.45%
call +5.45% · α +5.44%
$66.80
settled 16d ago
T+5d
-9.87%
call +9.87% · α +8.37%
$63.68
settled 12d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 9d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vaxcyte entered into a First Supplemental Indenture to issue $575M aggregate principal amount of 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2032 (including the underwriters' over-allotment option), and concurrently closed a $500M equity offering of 7,412,500 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants at $64.00/$63.999 per share. The combined ~$959M in gross proceeds (before expenses) will fund clinical development of VAX-31, manufacturing scale-up, and commercial launch preparations. The capital raise follows positive Phase 3 OPUS-1 topline results for VAX-31 and is dilutive to existing common shareholders.

Key Facts

  • Issued $575M aggregate principal amount of 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2032 (including $75M over-allotment option exercised)
  • Concurrently sold 7,412,500 shares of common stock at $64.00/share and pre-funded warrants for 400,000 shares at $63.999/warrant
  • Combined gross proceeds of approximately $1.075B ($500M notes + $500M equity + $75M over-allotment)
  • Initial conversion price on notes is ~$89.60 per share, representing ~40% premium to the $64.00 equity offering price
  • Proceeds to fund VAX-31 clinical development, manufacturing scale-up, and commercial launch preparations
  • Filing follows positive Phase 3 OPUS-1 topline results for VAX-31 announced October 5, 2026
  • Company expected to report ~$2.3B in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of September 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Combined capital raise of ~$1.075B in gross proceeds, with $575M in convertible notes and ~$500M in equity/pre-funded warrants. Dilution of ~7.4M shares (plus up to 1.17M option shares) and potential future dilution from note conversion at $89.60/share.

dilutiondebtcash

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from 7.4M new shares and potential conversion of $575M notes at $89.60/share
  • Execution risk in scaling manufacturing and commercial launch for VAX-31
  • Convertible note interest expense ($8.6M annually) adds fixed cost
  • Stock price below conversion price ($89.60) could limit note conversion and increase redemption risk

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-419174
Document: d150490dex11.htm0001193125-26-419174
21 reports for PCVX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +10.87%Oct 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PCVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$70.65 $63.68▲ +9.87%▲ +8.37%$60.67 (+14.13%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$71.38 $63.62▲ +10.87%▲ +8.90%$60.67 (+15.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$71.38 $63.62▲ +10.87%▲ +8.90%$60.67 (+15.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$66.70 $66.80▲ +0.15%▲ +0.29%$60.67 (−9.04%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$66.70 $66.80▼ −0.15%▼ −0.29%$60.67 (+9.04%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Oct 4, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 8/10
$73.82 $70.65▼ −4.29%▼ −4.72%$60.67 (−17.81%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.89 $58.86▼ −0.05%▼ −1.26%$60.67 (+3.02%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$60.67 $56.21▼ −7.35%▼ −7.90%$60.67 (−0.00%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 33m)

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Report published Oct 9, 2026