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6-K ·Filed Oct 2, 2026

PBR

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed25d 10h ago SEC0001292814-26-004836
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for further laboratory analysis results and subsequent drilling results from the Morpho well. The discovery is a positive exploration update but lacks quantified resource estimates, so near-term stock impact is limited until reserve estimates or development plans emerge.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
PBR ▲ +16.86% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.86% · α vs SPY +15.70% · entry $21.65 → $25.30
Next anchor: T+20d in 3d
Latest observation: T+15 +14.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+11.50%
call +11.50% · α +10.83%
$24.14
settled 22d ago
T+5d
+16.86%
call +16.86% · α +15.70%
$25.30
settled 18d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 3d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Petrobras announced a new oil discovery in the Morpho well (1-BRSA-1405-APS) in ultra-deep waters off the coast of Amapá, Brazil, at a water depth of 2,886 meters. This follows an earlier discovery in the same well announced in August 2026 and expands the company's knowledge of the exploratory potential of the Foz do Amazonas Sedimentary Basin. The discovery is a positive but early-stage exploration event with no immediate impact on reserves or production.

Key Facts

  • New oil-bearing interval discovered in Morpho well (1-BRSA-1405-APS) in block FZA-M-59
  • Water depth of 2,886 meters in ultra-deep waters off Amapá
  • Follows a prior discovery in the same well announced in August 2026
  • Analyses confirm good quality of oil from the August discovery
  • Operations aligned with Petrobras' long-term strategy to replenish oil and gas reserves

Financial Impact

No financial figures provided — discovery is at early exploration stage with no quantified reserves or resource potential disclosed

Risk Factors

  • No quantified resource or reserve estimates provided
  • Ultra-deep water exploration carries high development cost and environmental permitting risks
  • Foz do Amazonas Basin development may face regulatory and environmental approval hurdles

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-004836
Document: 0001292814-26-004836-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004836
Document: 0001292814-26-004836-index.html0001292814-26-004836
Document: 0001292814-26-004836.txt0001292814-26-004836
21 reports for PBR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +23.90%Sep 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PBR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$25.56awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−12.75%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.69awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−9.68%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.65awaiting T+20—$22.30 (+3.00%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.37 $26.16▲ +28.42%▲ +29.90%$22.30 (+9.47%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.14 $25.66▲ +21.38%▲ +20.69%$22.30 (+5.49%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$20.63 $25.56▲ +23.90%▲ +24.80%$22.30 (+8.10%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.63 $25.56▲ +23.90%▲ +24.80%$22.30 (+8.10%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 2, 2026