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6-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

PBR

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed13d 23h ago SEC0001292814-26-004920
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

These are expected government subsidy payments under previously announced programs — no new information on operational performance or guidance. Monitor upcoming quarterly results for impact on refining margins and free cash flow.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
PBR ▼ -1.08% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -1.08% · α vs SPY -1.53% · entry $25.94 → $25.66
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+7 -2.72% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.47%
call -2.47% · α -2.75%
$25.30
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-1.08%
call -1.08% · α -1.53%
$25.66
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Petrobras received R$ 2.8 billion in new subsidy payments from the Brazilian government for gasoline and diesel sales, bringing cumulative receipts under the fuel subsidy programs to approximately R$ 16 billion. This is a routine cash inflow from existing government programs, not a surprise catalyst.

Key Facts

  • Received R$ 39.6 million residual diesel payment from Provisional Measure No. 1,340
  • Received R$ 467.7 million for gasoline sales (July 1-15) under Provisional Measure No. 1,358
  • Received R$ 2.3 billion for diesel sales (July 1-15) under Provisional Measure No. 1,363
  • Cumulative receipts under diesel, gasoline, and LPG subsidy programs total approximately R$ 16 billion

Financial Impact

R$ 2.8 billion in new installments received; cumulative ~R$ 16 billion under all subsidy programs

cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Subsidy program terms could change with new provisional measures
  • Reliance on government subsidies may mask underlying refining margin weakness

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-004920
Document: 0001292814-26-004920-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004920
Document: 0001292814-26-004920-index.html0001292814-26-004920
Document: 0001292814-26-004920.txt0001292814-26-004920
21 reports for PBR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +23.90%Sep 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PBR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$25.56awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−12.75%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$25.94awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−14.03%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.69awaiting T+20—$22.30 (−9.68%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.65awaiting T+20—$22.30 (+3.00%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.37 $26.16▲ +28.42%▲ +29.90%$22.30 (+9.47%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.14 $25.66▲ +21.38%▲ +20.69%$22.30 (+5.49%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$20.63 $25.56▲ +23.90%▲ +24.80%$22.30 (+8.10%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.63 $25.56▲ +23.90%▲ +24.80%$22.30 (+8.10%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 13, 2026