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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

OXSQ

Oxford Square Capital Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Dividend
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The persistent NAV erosion and heavy dilution signal structural pressure on the BDC's portfolio. Monitor for further NAV declines and potential dividend cuts; the current $0.035/month distribution may become unsustainable if credit losses continue. The ATM program remains a key dilutive overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OXSQ ▼ -23.87% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +23.87% · α vs SPY +26.33% · entry $1.55 → $1.18
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.94%
call +1.94% · α +3.36%
$1.52
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.87%
call +3.87% · α +7.38%
$1.49
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-11.94%
call +11.94% · α +14.92%
$1.37
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-23.87%
call +23.87% · α +26.33%
$1.18
settled yesterday

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Oxford Square Capital Corp. reported Q2 2026 net investment income of $5.1M ($0.05/sh), up sequentially from $4.1M but down YoY from $5.5M. NAV per share fell further to $1.29 from $1.32 in Q1 and $1.69 at year-end 2025, while the company issued 11.3M shares via ATM for $17.8M, continuing significant dilution. The maintained $0.035/month distribution provides limited support, but the persistent NAV erosion and credit losses (non-accrual preferred equity increased to $6.9M) keep the outlook bearish.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$9.4M
-1.3% YoY
EPS
$0.05

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 NII of $5.1M ($0.05/sh) vs $5.5M ($0.08/sh) in Q2 2025
  • NAV per share declined to $1.29 from $1.32 in Q1 2026 and $1.69 at year-end 2025
  • Issued 11.3M shares via ATM for net proceeds of $17.8M during Q2
  • Non-accrual preferred equity investments increased to $6.9M fair value
  • Net realized losses of $5.2M in Q2 and $35.95M in H1 2026
  • Total return based on market value was -19.75% for Q2 and -14.23% for H1 2026
  • Maintained $0.035/month distribution for October-December 2026

Financial Impact

NAV per share declined 23.7% from year-end 2025 ($1.69 to $1.29); net realized losses of $35.95M in H1 2026 vs $14.5M in H1 2025; dilution of 22% from ATM issuance (86.1M shares to 105.1M)

net investment incomenet asset value per sharerealized lossesdilution

Risk Factors

  • Further NAV erosion from credit losses on CLO equity and debt investments
  • Dividend cut risk if net investment income continues to decline on a per-share basis
  • Continued dilution from at-the-market offering program
  • Non-accrual preferred equity may expand, reducing income

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3336749
8 reports for OXSQ
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +26.23%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OXSQ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.18awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+2.54%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.41 $1.22▲ +13.40%▲ +15.18%$1.21 (+14.07%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.55 $1.18▲ +23.87%▲ +26.33%$1.21 (+21.94%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $1.18▲ +23.87%▲ +26.33%$1.21 (+21.94%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.38 $1.42▲ +2.90%▼ −1.40%$1.21 (−12.32%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.59 $1.31▲ +17.87%▲ +22.00%$1.21 (+23.92%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.64 $1.36▼ −17.08%▼ −22.97%$1.21 (−26.32%)
Mar 3, 2026
34w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.75 $1.32▲ +24.60%▲ +34.91%$1.21 (+30.88%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 26m)

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Report published Jul 31, 2026