SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

OXSQ

Oxford Square Capital Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001213900-26-084087
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The persistent NAV decline and heavy ATM dilution pressure the common equity. Monitor distribution coverage closely; if NAV continues to erode, the $0.035/month payout may face a cut. The heavy reliance on ATM issuance to fund operations suggests limited organic capital generation. Watch for further non-accrual migration in the CLO equity portfolio.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OXSQ ▼ -13.40% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.40% · α vs SPY +15.18% · entry $1.41 → $1.22
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.32%
call +1.32% · α +3.12%
$1.39
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.61%
call +4.61% · α +6.63%
$1.34
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-9.68%
call +9.68% · α +10.91%
$1.27
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-13.40%
call +13.40% · α +15.18%
$1.22
settled yesterday

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Oxford Square Capital Corp. reported Q2 2026 results with total investment income of $9.4M (down ~1.3% YoY), net investment income of $5.1M (down ~6.6% YoY), and NAV per share declining to $1.29 from $1.69 at year-end 2025. The company continued aggressive ATM equity issuance, selling 11.3M shares for $17.8M net, while maintaining a $0.035/month distribution. Persistent NAV erosion, rising expense ratios, and shareholder dilution signal deteriorating fundamentals for this BDC.

Key Facts

  • NAV per share fell to $1.29 as of June 30, 2026 from $1.32 on March 31 and $1.69 on December 31, 2025
  • Net investment income Q2 2026: $5.1M vs $5.5M in Q2 2025 (-6.6% YoY)
  • Total investment income Q2 2026: $9.4M vs $9.5M in Q2 2025 (-1.3% YoY)
  • Issued ~11.3M shares via ATM in Q2 2026 for net proceeds of ~$17.8M; shares outstanding rose to 105.1M
  • Total return based on market value was -19.75% in Q2 2026
  • Weighted average shares outstanding Q2 2026: 99.3M vs 73.2M in Q2 2025 (+36%)
  • Annualized expense ratio increased to 14.39% from 10.78% a year ago
  • Preferred equity investments in one portfolio company on non-accrual, $6.9M fair value
  • Monthly distributions maintained at $0.035 per share for Oct/Nov/Dec 2026

Financial Impact

Total investment income declined $0.12M YoY to $9.4M; NII declined $0.36M YoY to $5.1M; net assets fell $10.4M from Dec 2025 to $135.0M; market capitalization based on end-of-quarter price of $1.32 on 105.1M shares is approximately $138.7M, compared to ~$151.5M at the start of the quarter

revenueepsdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Continuing NAV erosion could trigger asset coverage or debt covenant issues
  • ATM dilution further depresses per-share metrics and market price
  • Non-accrual CLO equity investments ($6.9M fair value) may expand
  • Rising expense ratio (14.4% annualized) compresses returns to shareholders

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-084087
Document: ea0300117-01_8k.htm0001213900-26-084087
Document: 0001213900-26-084087-index-headers.html0001213900-26-084087
Document: 0001213900-26-084087-index.html0001213900-26-084087
Document: 0001213900-26-084087.txt0001213900-26-084087
8 reports for OXSQ
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +26.23%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OXSQ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.18awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+2.54%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.41 $1.22▲ +13.40%▲ +15.18%$1.21 (+14.07%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.55 $1.18▲ +23.87%▲ +26.33%$1.21 (+21.94%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.55 $1.18▲ +23.87%▲ +26.33%$1.21 (+21.94%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.38 $1.42▲ +2.90%▼ −1.40%$1.21 (−12.32%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.59 $1.31▲ +17.87%▲ +22.00%$1.21 (+23.92%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.64 $1.36▼ −17.08%▼ −22.97%$1.21 (−26.32%)
Mar 3, 2026
34w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.75 $1.32▲ +24.60%▲ +34.91%$1.21 (+30.88%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jul 31, 2026