8-K ·Filed May 8, 2026

OSK

OSHKOSH CORP
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-213376
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The severe earnings miss and operating income collapse in Access and Vocational segments overshadow the maintained guidance. Watch for potential guidance cuts on the next earnings call if Access weakness persists. The stock is likely to sell off sharply on the magnitude of the miss.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OSK ▲ +13.59% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -13.59% · α vs SPY -8.75% · entry $137.97 → $156.72
Entry anchored
May 8, 07:00 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.86%
call +2.86% · α +3.09%
$134.03
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.59%
call +8.59% · α +10.05%
$126.12
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-5.39%
call +5.39% · α +5.42%
$130.53
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+13.59%
call -13.59% · α -8.75%
$156.72
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Oshkosh Corp reported a weak Q1 2026 with GAAP EPS of $0.68 (adjusted $0.85), a steep decline from $1.72/$1.92 in the prior year, driven by a 53.2% drop in operating income due to unfavorable sales mix and higher costs. Revenue was flat at $2.32B, and while the company maintained its full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $11.50, the severe miss vs consensus ($1.04) and deteriorating margins signal significant near-term headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.85
est $1.04 · -18.3%
Revenue
$2.3B
est $2.3B · +1.2% · +0.2% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
~$11.0B
maintained
Gross Margin
13.46%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.68 vs $1.72 YoY, a 60.5% decline
  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.85 vs $1.92 YoY, a 55.7% decline
  • Consolidated operating income fell 53.2% to $82.0M (3.5% of sales) from $175.4M (7.6% of sales)
  • Revenue was essentially flat at $2.32B (+0.2% YoY)
  • Access segment operating income plunged 66.3% to $34.7M; Vocational fell 28.1% to $84.7M
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance maintained at ~$11.50 on ~$11.0B revenue
  • Company repurchased 303,592 shares for $47.3M in Q1
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.57/share

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~18% vs consensus ($0.85 actual vs $1.04 estimate); operating income halved YoY

epsoperating incomeoperating marginsegment profitability

Risk Factors

  • Further deterioration in Access segment margins from adverse mix and price-cost dynamics
  • Guidance cut risk if non-residential construction weakness deepens
  • Execution risk on NGDV ramp and fire truck production

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Analyst Consensus
68% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-213376
Document: osk-20260508.htm0001193125-26-213376
Document: 0001193125-26-213376-index-headers.html0001193125-26-213376
Document: 0001193125-26-213376-index.html0001193125-26-213376
Document: 0001193125-26-213376.txt0001193125-26-213376
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-213376
2 reports for OSK
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for OSK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$152.50 $155.23▲ +1.79%▼ −1.59%$133.91 (−12.19%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$137.97 $130.53▲ +5.39%▲ +5.42%$133.91 (+2.94%)
Showing 2 of 2

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