ANALYST-UPGRADE

ORCL

ORACLE CORP
BULLISH
Impact 3/10
Processed5mo ago SECanalyst-ORCL-wedbush-20260424
Wedbush initiates coverage on ORCL at Outperform
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Wedbush’s initiation is a mildly bullish signal from a moderately accurate firm, aligning with strong consensus but not offering contrarian edge. Watch for institutional follow-through ahead of June 9 earnings; long exposure is justified but not urgent.

DirectionBullish
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ORCL ▼ -29.95% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -29.95% · α vs SPY -33.89% · entry $173.27 → $121.38
Entry anchored
Apr 24, 11:51 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.17%
call -0.17% · α -0.33%
$172.98
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.85%
call -6.85% · α -7.76%
$161.39
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+9.53%
call +9.53% · α +5.50%
$189.77
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-29.95%
call -29.95% · α -33.89%
$121.38
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Wedbush initiated coverage on Oracle (ORCL) with an Outperform rating and $225 price target, implying 27.6% upside from the current $176.28. The firm’s 57% accuracy rate (917/1604 calls) is above average but below top-tier peers. Consensus is strongly bullish: 66.7% Buy-rated (40 of 60 analysts), with a mean PT of $243.71. Recent analyst momentum shows 1 upgrade and 0 downgrades in the past 30 days. EPS estimates are trending upward, with 3 revisions higher in the last 30 days for +1y EPS. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank and Two Sigma initiated large new positions, while Causeway and Mawer fully exited. Insider selling totaled $2.64M on April 16. Congressional trades show minor buys and sells. Earnings due June 9 — within 45 days — add timing relevance. Wedbush’s call aligns with bullish consensus but is below the median PT of $220.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+1
Final Score
3/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
40 (78%)
Hold
10
Sell / Strong Sell
1
Total Analysts
38
Mean PT
$243.71
Median PT
$220.00
High PT
$400.00
Low PT
$155.00
Current Price
$176.28
Implied Upside
+38.3%

Of 60 total analysts, 40 rate ORCL a Buy (66.7%), 10 Hold (16.7%), and 1 Sell (1.7%). The consensus direction is strongly bullish, with no recent downgrades. This initiation aligns with the prevailing bullish sentiment.

The consensus mean price target is $243.71, median $220, high $400, low $155. ORCL trades at $176.28, implying 38.4% upside to the mean and 24.8% to the median. Wedbush’s $225 PT is 7.3% above the median and 7.4% below the mean, placing it in the upper tier of targets but not extreme.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-24WedbushinitiateOutperform$225.00
2026-04-23Morgan StanleymaintainEqual-Weight$207.00
2026-04-07Stephens & Co.reiterateEqual-Weight$254.00
2026-03-16MizuhomaintainOutperform$320.00
2026-03-13GuggenheimreiterateBuy$400.00
2026-03-12CitigroupmaintainBuy$320.00
2026-03-11StifelmaintainBuy$220.00
2026-03-11BarclaysmaintainOverweight$240.00
2026-03-11BMO CapitalmaintainOutperform$200.00
2026-03-11TD CowenreiterateBuy$250.00

In the past 30 days, ORCL saw 1 upgrade and 0 downgrades. EPS estimates are rising: +1y EPS revised up 3 times and down once in the past 30 days, current estimate $7.98, up from $7.97. Near-term estimates show minor downward drift in 0q EPS, but full-year 0y EPS also revised up twice, down zero.

Firm Track Record — Wedbush

Wedbush accuracy: 57% on 1604 calls | avg return: 7.2%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Oppenheimer100%2/216.8%top tier
WestPark Capital100%2/250.7%top tier
Keybanc71%5/711.9%top tier
Deutsche Bank67%2/313%top tier
Morgan Stanley67%6/914.9%top tier
UBS64%7/115.6%top tier
Guggenheim64%7/1112.2%top tier
Jefferies63%5/89.5%top tier
B of A Securities63%5/86.8%top tier
Stifel63%5/87.7%top tier

Wedbush has a 57% accuracy rate (917 correct out of 1,604 rated calls) with an average return of 7.2%, placing it above average but below top-tier firms. Oppenheimer (100%, 2/2), WestPark (100%, 2/2), and Keybanc (71%, 5/7) lead in accuracy. Morgan Stanley (67%, 6/9) and Mizuho (57%, 4/7) are peers with stronger returns.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jun 9, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q$1.68$1.51 — $1.84$19.0B↑1 ↓0
0y$7.46$6.59 — $7.69$67.2B↑1 ↓0
+1y$7.98$6.16 — $9.26$88.3B↑1 ↓0
0q$1.96$1.76 — $2.03$19.1B↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 1 sells
Congressional
Michael McCaul () — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Michael McCaul () — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (1369.6%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC — exit (-100%)
Short Interest
Short: 13,423,752 | Exempt: 41,991 | TRF Vol: 22,238,544 | Short Ratio: 60.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Institutional activity is divergent: Norges Bank ($4.34B new) and Two Sigma ($151.7M, +1369.6%) initiated or expanded positions, while Causeway and Mawer exited entirely. Renaissance Technologies started a new $323K stake. Insider activity shows one sell: Stuart Levey sold $2.64M on April 16. Congressional trades show two buys and one sell, all in minimal ranges. Short interest is elevated at 13.4M shares, but short ratio of 60.4% reflects high off-exchange volume rather than pure bearishness.

Investment Themes

Cloud & SaaS

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

11 reports for ORCL
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +18.86%Apr 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ORCL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$144.79 $148.56▲ +2.60%▲ +2.50%$142.19 (−1.80%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$144.76 $141.32▼ −2.38%▼ −1.84%$142.19 (−1.78%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$121.38 $114.99▲ +5.26%▲ +4.84%$142.19 (−17.14%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$152.46 $142.50▼ −6.53%▼ −8.09%$142.19 (−6.74%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$54.86 $54.20▼ −1.20%▼ −2.42%$142.19 (+159.19%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$56.38 $54.07▼ −4.10%▼ −2.94%$142.19 (+152.20%)
Apr 24, 2026
22w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$173.27 $161.39▼ −6.85%▼ −7.76%$142.19 (−17.94%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$181.17 $165.96▼ −8.40%▼ −9.48%$142.19 (−21.52%)
Apr 6, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$45.02 $47.84▲ +6.26%▲ +2.13%$142.19 (+215.84%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$138.79 $142.81▲ +2.90%▼ −1.40%$142.19 (+2.45%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Apr 24, 2026