PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 3, 2026

ON

onsemi
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The beat and strong Q3 guidance, especially in AI data center, support positive momentum. However, historical T+20 performance on ON shows negative alpha after similar reports; monitor for follow-through and consider taking profits on strength given the stock's tendency to fade.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ON ▼ -10.06% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -10.06% · α vs SPY -8.83% · entry $80.78 → $72.65
Next anchor: T+60d in 25d
Latest observation: T+39 +5.12% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 3, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.79%
call -4.79% · α -4.59%
$76.91
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+0.41%
call +0.41% · α +0.51%
$81.11
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-10.06%
call -10.06% · α -8.83%
$72.65
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 25d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

onsemi reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.604B (+9% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.74, beating consensus estimates of $0.72 by 2.8%. Q3 guidance midpoint of $1.70B revenue and $0.87 non-GAAP EPS signals continued sequential growth, with AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026. Free cash flow quadrupled YoY to $425M, and the company announced the planned acquisition of Synaptics.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.74
est $0.72 · +2.8%
Revenue
$1.6B
est $1.6B · +0.8% · +9.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$1,650 to $1,750 million
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$425.4M
Gross Margin
38.4%

Key Facts

  • Q2 revenue $1,603.5M, +9% YoY vs $1,468.7M
  • Non-GAAP EPS $0.74 beat consensus $0.72 by 2.8%
  • GAAP gross margin 38.4%, non-GAAP gross margin 39.3%
  • Free cash flow $425.4M quadrupled YoY from $106.1M
  • Q3 guidance: revenue $1,650-1,750M, non-GAAP EPS $0.81-0.93
  • Share repurchases $332M in Q2; YTD returns ~105% of FCF
  • AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026
  • Announced planned acquisition of Synaptics
  • PSG segment revenue +19% YoY; AMG -2% YoY; ISG +7% YoY

Financial Impact

Modest beat on EPS (+2.8%) and revenue (+0.9% vs consensus), strong Q3 guidance midpoint implies 6% sequential revenue growth and 18% sequential EPS growth

revenueepsfree cash flowgross margin

Risk Factors

  • Auto/industrial demand recovery may lag expectations
  • Synaptics acquisition integration and dilution risk
  • Macro uncertainty affecting semiconductor cycle
  • Historical T+20 underperformance after positive news

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
49% bullish (39 analysts)

Investment Themes

Semiconductors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3337876
23 reports for ON
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 7 of 7 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +29.60%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$74.21 $71.72▼ −3.36%▼ −4.37%$83.81 (+12.94%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.54 $89.04▼ −5.82%▼ −4.79%$83.81 (−11.35%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Showing 10 of 23

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Report published Aug 3, 2026