S-4 ·Filed Aug 21, 2026

ON

ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001140361-26-033970
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The S-4 filing is a procedural step towards closing; the early HSR termination is a significant positive for deal certainty. The key remaining risks are: (1) Synaptics stockholder vote (majority of outstanding shares required; abstentions count as 'against'); (2) anti-trust approvals in China, Hungary, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan; (3) FDI approvals in France and the UK; and (4) the ongoing decline in ON's stock price, which has compressed the implied value for SYNA holders from ~$156 to ~$109 since announcement. Monitor Synaptics court rulings and any competing proposals. The resignation of the SYNA CFO adds management distraction risk.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
ON ▼ -3.36% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.36% · α vs SPY -4.37% · entry $74.21 → $71.72
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 +32.12% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 21, 09:53 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-3.07%
call -3.07% · α -2.78%
$71.93
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.16%
call -2.16% · α -2.63%
$72.61
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-3.36%
call -3.36% · α -4.37%
$71.72
settled 11d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ON Semiconductor (ON) filed a preliminary S-4 registration statement in connection with its proposed all-stock acquisition of Synaptics (SYNA). Synaptics stockholders will receive 1.350 shares of ON common stock for each share of SYNA held, implying ~$109.05 per share based on ON's August 4, 2026 closing price of $80.78. The combined company is expected to generate ~$200M in annual run-rate synergies. The filing also discloses that the HSR Act waiting period was granted early termination on August 12, 2026, removing a key closing condition. Synaptics CFO Ken Rizvi resigned effective August 20, 2026.

Key Facts

  • All-stock exchange ratio: 1.350 ON shares per SYNA share
  • Implied value of ~$109.05/share (ON close $80.78 on Aug 4, 2026; down from ~$156.25 at announcement)
  • Up to ~61.4M ON shares registered for issuance; Synaptics holders expected to own ~12% of combined co.
  • HSR Act waiting period early terminated on August 12, 2026
  • Synaptics CFO Ken Rizvi resigned, effective immediately on August 20, 2026
  • Expected ~$200M in annual run-rate cost synergies
  • Synaptics board unanimously recommends FOR; special meeting of SYNA holders to be called

Financial Impact

Transaction valued at ~$4.5B based on SYNA reference price of $99.35 on Aug 20, 2026; ~$200M in expected annual run-rate synergies

dilutionrevenuegross marginoperating margin

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain Synaptics stockholder approval (majority of outstanding shares, not just votes cast; abstentions count AGAINST)
  • Regulatory delays or failures in additional jurisdictions (China, Hungary, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, France, UK)
  • Further decline in ON's stock price reducing deal value for SYNA holders (fixed exchange ratio, no collar)
  • Synaptics CFO resignation effective Aug 20 adds management uncertainty and potential retention issues
  • Competing superior proposal could trigger a $235M termination fee from Synaptics
  • Post-merger integration challenges; failure to achieve ~$200M in annual synergies

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (38 analysts)

Investment Themes

Semiconductors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 11 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (ON) — Batch item 10001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex107.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex5-1.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex8-1.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex8-2.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex99-1.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex23-4.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: ny20076897x1_ex23-3.htm0001140361-26-033970
Document: 0001140361-26-033970-index-headers.html0001140361-26-033970
Document: 0001140361-26-033970-index.html0001140361-26-033970
Document: 0001140361-26-033970.txt0001140361-26-033970
23 reports for ON
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +29.60%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$74.21 $71.72▼ −3.36%▼ −4.37%$83.81 (+12.94%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.54 $89.04▼ −5.82%▼ −4.79%$83.81 (−11.35%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Showing 10 of 23

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