8-K ·Filed Jun 25, 2026

ON

ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001140361-26-026395
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The acquisition is a transformative strategic deal that positions onsemi at the center of Physical AI by adding Synaptics' Edge AI compute, connectivity, and human-machine interface capabilities. Traders should monitor the regulatory approval process (HSR and FDI) which is the primary closing risk, given the extended timeline to mid-2027. The all-stock structure means Synaptics shareholders participate in future upside, while onsemi shares may face modest dilution overhang. The $320M regulatory termination fee (paid by onsemi) and $235M termination fee (paid by Synaptics) provide deal protection.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ON ▼ -20.88% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -20.88% · α vs SPY -26.99% · entry $90.65 → $71.72
Entry anchored
Jun 25, 04:53 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.29%
call -2.29% · α -3.94%
$88.57
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.63%
call +0.63% · α -1.54%
$91.22
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-0.57%
call -0.57% · α -1.83%
$90.13
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-20.88%
call -20.88% · α -26.99%
$71.72
settled 11d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ON Semiconductor Corporation (onsemi) has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Synaptics Incorporated in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $7 billion enterprise value. Synaptics stockholders will receive 1.350 shares of onsemi common stock per share, representing an approximately 19% premium to the 10-day VWAP. The deal is expected to close in mid-2027, is subject to regulatory approval and Synaptics stockholder vote, and is expected to be accretive to non-GAAP EPS within 18 months of closing with $200 million in expected annual synergies.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$7.0B
Premium
19%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • onsemi to acquire Synaptics in an all-stock transaction with a fixed exchange ratio of 1.350 shares of onsemi common stock per Synaptics share
  • Total enterprise value of approximately $7 billion, representing an ~19% premium to the 10-day VWAP
  • Synaptics stockholders expected to own ~12% of the combined company on a pro forma basis
  • Expected to close in mid-2027, subject to Synaptics stockholder approval, regulatory clearances (HSR Act and other antitrust/FDI regimes), and other customary conditions
  • Expected to be accretive to non-GAAP EPS within 18 months of closing with $200 million in expected annual synergies
  • Transaction expands onsemi's total addressable market by $30 billion to $243 billion by 2030
  • Synaptics termination fee: $235 million; onsemi regulatory termination fee: $320 million
  • One independent director from Synaptics board to join onsemi board
  • Both companies reiterate their previously issued financial outlooks for their respective current quarters

Financial Impact

$7 billion enterprise value all-stock acquisition; $200 million in expected annual synergies; accretive to non-GAAP EPS within 18 months

revenueearningsepstotal_addressable_marketsynergies

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval risk under HSR Act and foreign investment laws (FDI) could delay or block the transaction
  • Extended closing timeline (~12 months) creates execution and integration risk
  • Potential for competing bids or a superior proposal triggering Synaptics termination and $235M fee
  • Market reaction to stock consideration and dilution for onsemi shareholders
  • Integration challenges combining two large semiconductor platforms
  • Failure to achieve projected $200M in synergies or revenue growth targets
  • Stockholder litigation may arise challenging the transaction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
51% bullish (43 analysts)

Investment Themes

Semiconductors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-026395
Document: ef20076747_8k.htm0001140361-26-026395
Document: ef20076747_ex99-1.htm0001140361-26-026395
Document: 0001140361-26-026395-index-headers.html0001140361-26-026395
Document: 0001140361-26-026395-index.html0001140361-26-026395
Document: 0001140361-26-026395.txt0001140361-26-026395
23 reports for ON
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 7 of 7 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +29.60%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$74.21 $71.72▼ −3.36%▼ −4.37%$83.81 (+12.94%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$81.56 $76.14▼ −6.65%▼ −4.90%$83.81 (+2.76%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$80.78 $72.65▼ −10.06%▼ −8.83%$83.81 (+3.75%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.54 $89.04▼ −5.82%▼ −4.79%$83.81 (−11.35%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$88.57 $86.81▼ −1.99%▼ −1.71%$83.81 (−5.37%)
Showing 10 of 23

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