PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 12, 2026

OLMA

Olema Oncology
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The EPS beat is modest and the wider loss is expected for a clinical-stage biotech. The real catalysts are the OPERA-01 top-line data (fall 2026) and OP-3136 ASCO data (late May/June). Monitor these events for binary outcomes that could move the stock 30-50%.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OLMA ▼ -15.53% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.53% · α vs SPY -19.92% · entry $13.97 → $11.80
Entry anchored
May 12, 04:35 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.79%
call -2.79% · α -3.37%
$13.58
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-7.66%
call -7.66% · α -7.74%
$12.90
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-29.71%
call -29.71% · α -27.98%
$9.82
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-15.53%
call -15.53% · α -19.92%
$11.80
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Olema Oncology reported Q1 2026 EPS of -$0.52, a 7.2% beat vs consensus of -$0.54, but net loss widened to $53.1M from $30.4M a year ago due to increased R&D spending on late-stage trials. The stock is driven by upcoming catalysts: top-line Phase 3 OPERA-01 data expected fall 2026 and initial Phase 1 OP-3136 data at ASCO this month.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.52
est $-0.54 · +3.7%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS -$0.52 vs consensus -$0.54 (7.2% beat)
  • Net loss $53.1M vs $30.4M YoY, driven by higher R&D spend
  • Cash position $505.3M as of March 31, 2026
  • Top-line Phase 3 OPERA-01 data expected fall 2026
  • Initial Phase 1 OP-3136 data to be presented at ASCO May/June 2026
  • Phase 3 OPERA-02 enrollment continuing

Financial Impact

Net loss increased 75% YoY to $53.1M; cash burn rate ~$53M/quarter

net lossR&D expensescash position

Risk Factors

  • Phase 3 OPERA-01 failure would be a severe negative catalyst
  • Cash burn rate implies ~2.5 years of runway; potential dilution risk
  • OP-3136 Phase 1 safety/efficacy data could disappoint

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3292656
13 reports for OLMA
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 1 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +12.65%Aug 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OLMA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.43 $10.36▼ −0.67%▲ +0.39%$8.23 (−21.14%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.43 $10.36▼ −0.67%▲ +0.39%$8.23 (−21.14%)
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$11.94 $10.99▲ +8.00%▲ +7.08%$8.23 (+31.11%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.55 $11.46▼ −15.42%▼ −13.48%$8.23 (−39.30%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.55 $11.46▼ −15.42%▼ −13.48%$8.23 (−39.30%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.68 $10.19▼ −25.51%▼ −24.10%$8.23 (−39.88%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.68 $10.19▼ −25.51%▼ −24.10%$8.23 (−39.88%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.97 $9.82▼ −29.71%▼ −27.98%$8.23 (−41.12%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$13.97 $9.82▼ −29.71%▼ −27.98%$8.23 (−41.12%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.41 $13.19▼ −8.47%▼ −13.69%$8.23 (−42.92%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 33m)

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Report published May 12, 2026