8-K ·Filed Sep 3, 2026

ODFL

OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed29d 5h ago SEC0000878927-26-000025
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The pricing strength is positive but the volume decline warrants caution. Monitor Q3 full earnings (expected late October) for confirmation of whether demand trends stabilize or worsen. The stock has historically underperformed after similar updates — consider waiting for clearer volume inflection before adding exposure.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
ODFL ▼ -3.21% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.21% · α vs SPY -2.06% · entry $185.75 → $179.79
Next anchor: T+20d due 7h ago
Latest observation: T+17 +15.34% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 3, 09:37 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.06%
call +0.06% · α +0.45%
$185.87
settled 28d ago
T+5d
-3.21%
call -3.21% · α -2.06%
$179.79
settled 21d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 7h ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Old Dominion Freight Line reported a mid-quarter operating update for Q3 2026, showing revenue per day up 12.4% in August vs last year, driven by pricing gains (LTL revenue per hundredweight +11.3% QTD). However, LTL tons per day fell 0.9% and shipments per day declined 2.4%, indicating volume weakness. The update is mixed — pricing strength offsets some volume softness, but the underlying demand trend shows contraction.

Key Facts

  • Revenue per day increased 12.4% in August 2026 vs August 2025
  • LTL tons per day decreased 0.9% in August 2026 vs August 2025
  • LTL shipments per day decreased 2.4% in August 2026 vs August 2025
  • LTL weight per shipment increased 1.7% in August 2026 vs August 2025
  • Quarter-to-date LTL revenue per hundredweight increased 11.3% vs prior year period
  • Quarter-to-date LTL revenue per hundredweight excluding fuel surcharges increased 4.8% vs prior year period

Financial Impact

Revenue growth driven by pricing (rev/cwt +11.3%) but volume contraction (tons -0.9%, shipments -2.4%) creates mixed signals; no full financials provided

revenue per dayLTL tons per dayLTL shipments per dayLTL revenue per hundredweight

Risk Factors

  • Volume contraction (shipments -2.4%) may signal softening industrial demand
  • Fuel surcharge impact on revenue growth sustainability if fuel prices decline

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Trucking (No Local)
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (31 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000878927-26-000025
Document: odfl-ex99_1.htm0000878927-26-000025
Document: 0000878927-26-000025-index-headers.html0000878927-26-000025
Document: 0000878927-26-000025-index.html0000878927-26-000025
Document: 0000878927-26-000025.txt0000878927-26-000025
7 reports for ODFL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ODFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$185.75 $179.79▼ −3.21%▼ −2.06%$180.71 (−2.71%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$222.79 $215.45▼ −3.29%▼ −8.82%$180.71 (−18.89%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$230.71 $212.47▼ −7.91%▼ −8.38%$180.71 (−21.67%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$235.24 $235.95▲ +0.30%▲ +4.12%$180.71 (−23.18%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$207.46 $225.10▲ +8.50%▲ +6.65%$180.71 (−12.89%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$208.82 $200.35▼ −4.06%▼ −7.17%$180.71 (−13.46%)
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$207.59 $196.63▼ −5.28%▼ −4.07%$180.71 (−12.95%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

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