8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

OCUL

OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-055241
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The Q1 earnings are a non-event — the stock will trade on the SOL-1 data and NDA timeline. Watch the June 17 Investor Day for regulatory updates and NDA submission clarity. The cash runway into 2028 removes near-term financing risk.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OCUL ▼ -12.77% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -12.77% · α vs SPY -15.51% · entry $9.71 → $8.47
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -1.38%
$9.71
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.43%
call -4.43% · α -6.41%
$9.28
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-14.42%
call -14.42% · α -19.37%
$8.31
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-12.77%
call -12.77% · α -15.51%
$8.47
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ocular Therapeutix reported Q1 2026 net revenue of $10.8M (up 0.8% YoY), essentially flat, and a net loss of -$0.40/share, which was a 5.3% miss vs the -$0.38 loss in Q1 2025. The core financials are weak, but the stock is driven entirely by the positive SOL-1 Phase 3 data for AXPAXLI in wet AMD, which showed superiority over aflibercept. The company is on track to submit an NDA, and cash of $666.7M funds operations into 2028. The quarter itself is a non-event financially; the narrative is about the pipeline.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.40
Revenue
$10.8M
+0.8% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 total net revenue $10.8M, up 0.8% from $10.7M in Q1 2025.
  • Net loss of -$88.6M (-$0.40/share) vs -$64.1M (-$0.38/share) in Q1 2025.
  • Cash and cash equivalents $666.7M as of March 31, 2026, with runway into 2028.
  • SOL-1 Phase 3 superiority trial met primary endpoint (p=0.0006); 74.1% of AXPAXLI-treated subjects maintained vision at Week 36 vs 55.8% for aflibercept.
  • NDA submission for AXPAXLI in wet AMD remains on track, subject to FDA discussions.
  • SOL-R Phase 3 non-inferiority trial on track for topline data in Q1 2027.
  • R&D expenses surged to $66.2M from $42.9M YoY due to clinical trial costs.
  • No consensus estimates provided for Q1 2026; EPS of -$0.40 compares to prior year loss of -$0.38.

Financial Impact

Revenue essentially flat YoY; net loss widened by 38% to -$88.6M; cash burn of ~$70M in the quarter.

revenuenet losscashR&D expenses

Risk Factors

  • FDA may not accept a single pivotal trial for NDA submission.
  • SOL-R non-inferiority trial results (Q1 2027) could disappoint.
  • DEXTENZA revenue continues to decline due to reimbursement headwinds.
  • Operating losses are widening as R&D spending increases.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-055241
Document: tm2613442d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-055241
Document: 0001104659-26-055241-index-headers.html0001104659-26-055241
Document: 0001104659-26-055241-index.html0001104659-26-055241
Document: 0001104659-26-055241.txt0001104659-26-055241
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-055241
14 reports for OCUL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +24.88%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OCUL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.90 $7.67▼ −29.63%▼ −29.30%$6.96 (−36.15%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.82 $9.82▼ −9.24%▼ −8.73%$6.96 (−35.67%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.40 $10.49▲ +24.88%▲ +23.64%$6.96 (−17.14%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.64 $9.17▼ −4.93%▼ −6.24%$6.96 (−27.80%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.99 $9.88▲ +9.90%▲ +10.65%$6.96 (−22.58%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.80 $9.64▲ +9.55%▲ +10.92%$6.96 (−20.91%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.01 $9.90▲ +9.88%▲ +11.67%$6.96 (−22.75%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$9.71 $8.31▼ −14.42%▼ −19.37%$6.96 (−28.32%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.71 $8.31▼ −14.42%▼ −19.37%$6.96 (−28.32%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.43 $8.93▼ −5.30%▼ −10.57%$6.96 (−26.19%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 31m)

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