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8-K ·Filed Aug 3, 2026

OBX

Obsidian Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-330810
Killer combo: M&A completed + management change
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The going-concern disclosure signals high risk of equity dilution or restructuring. Monitor for completion of the referenced merger and financing — failure to close would likely force operational shutdown or distressed sale.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
OBX ▼ -49.88% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +49.88% · α vs SPY +48.64% · entry $34.00 → $17.04
Next anchor: T+60d due 16h ago
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-16.15%
call +16.15% · α +15.95%
$28.51
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.24%
call +3.24% · α +3.14%
$32.90
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-49.88%
call +49.88% · α +48.64%
$17.04
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
due 16h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Obsidian Therapeutics filed an 8-K with a lease amendment and a risk factors exhibit that discloses a net loss of $100.6M for 2025, cash of $80.5M, and substantial doubt about going concern. The company remains pre-revenue and clinical-stage, with lead candidate OBX-115 in Phase 2. The financial deterioration and going concern warning are strongly negative.

Key Facts

  • Net loss of $100.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2025
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $80.5 million as of December 31, 2025
  • Independent auditor included a going concern emphasis in the 2025 annual report
  • No products approved and no revenue generated to date
  • Lead product candidate OBX-115 in Phase 2 for advanced melanoma and Phase 1 for NSCLC
  • Lease extended through January 31, 2027 with base rent escalation
  • Company pursuing mergers and concurrent financing to fund operations

Financial Impact

Net loss of $100.6M in 2025 (vs $83.1M in 2024); cash burn rate suggesting runway only into Q3 2026 even with merger proceeds

cash_positionnet_incomegoing_concern

Risk Factors

  • Going concern risk — may not have sufficient capital to continue operations beyond Q3 2026
  • Clinical trial failure risk for OBX-115
  • Dilution risk from planned mergers and concurrent financing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-330810
Document: d309963dex992.htm0001193125-26-330810
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-330810
13 reports for OBX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for OBX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.22awaiting T+20—$14.25 (+7.79%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$17.16 $12.24▼ −28.67%▼ −30.80%$14.25 (−16.96%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$34.00 $17.04▼ −49.88%▼ −48.64%$14.25 (−58.09%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$34.00 $17.04▲ +49.88%▲ +48.64%$14.25 (+58.09%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+20——
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Aug 3, 2026