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8-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

OBIO

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d 5h ago SEC0001104659-26-112586
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The key binary catalyst is the primary endpoint data readout in Q2 2027. The pilot MODERATO II data showed a net 8.1 mmHg reduction in 24-hour aSBP vs control at 6 months, providing a benchmark. Watch for any pre-announcements or analyst day commentary on the trial's blinded aggregate event rates or follow-up completion pace before the conference submission window.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
OBIO ▼ -9.76% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.76% · α vs SPY -11.06% · entry $6.35 → $5.73
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 -21.66% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.30%
call -6.30% · α -7.04%
$5.95
settled 25d ago
T+5d
-9.76%
call -9.76% · α -11.06%
$5.73
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Orchestra BioMed announced that its BACKBEAT global pivotal trial of AVIM Therapy has exceeded full enrollment, with 330 patients randomized as of September 30, 2026, surpassing the target of 316. The company reiterated guidance for primary endpoint data submission for a late-breaking presentation at a major cardiovascular conference in Q2 2027. This is a clinical milestone de-risking event that removes enrollment uncertainty and keeps the pivotal trial on schedule.

Key Facts

  • 330 patients randomized as of September 30, 2026, exceeding the target of 316
  • Trial conducted at 81 sites across 13 countries with Medtronic (NYSE: MDT)
  • Primary endpoint data to be submitted for late-breaking presentation consideration at a major cardiovascular conference in Q2 2027
  • Protocol specifies 284 evaluable randomized subjects for primary endpoint analysis
  • Trial is a global, multi-center, prospective, randomized, double-blind pivotal study
  • Primary efficacy endpoint: between-group difference in change in 24-hour ambulatory systolic blood pressure at 3-month follow-up
  • Primary safety endpoint: freedom from unanticipated serious adverse device events at 3-month follow-up
  • Study designed with >90% statistical power to detect at least 5 mmHg between-group difference in aSBP
  • AVIM Therapy has FDA Breakthrough Device Designations for uncontrolled hypertension in patients with increased cardiovascular risk
  • Medtronic plans to submit marketing applications to FDA and other global regulators promptly assuming positive results

Financial Impact

No financial figures reported. Clinical milestone removes enrollment risk for a pivotal trial targeting a multi-billion-dollar annual market opportunity (uncontrolled hypertension in pacemaker-indicated patients).

Risk Factors

  • Primary endpoint results may fail to show statistically significant blood pressure reduction vs control
  • Safety events could emerge at the 3-month follow-up, impacting the safety endpoint
  • Regulatory approval and commercialization depend on Medtronic's subsequent marketing applications, which are not guaranteed
  • Competing hypertension devices or therapies could emerge before or after data readout

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-112586
Document: tm2626728d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-112586
Document: 0001104659-26-112586-index-headers.html0001104659-26-112586
Document: 0001104659-26-112586-index.html0001104659-26-112586
Document: 0001104659-26-112586.txt0001104659-26-112586
11 reports for OBIO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for OBIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.35 $5.73▼ −9.76%▼ −11.06%$5.55 (−12.60%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$6.35 $5.73▼ −9.76%▼ −11.06%$5.55 (−12.60%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.22 $6.08▼ −2.25%▼ −1.06%$5.55 (−10.77%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.43 $6.04▲ +11.23%▲ +12.35%$5.55 (+2.21%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$4.90 $5.45▼ −11.22%▼ −11.14%$5.55 (−13.27%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.30 $3.96▼ −7.91%▼ −8.17%$5.55 (+29.07%)
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.86 $4.02▲ +4.15%▲ +7.96%$5.55 (+43.78%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.00 $4.06▲ +1.50%▼ −0.75%$5.55 (+38.75%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.99 $3.93▼ −1.50%▼ −3.23%$5.55 (+39.10%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.15 $3.80▼ −8.43%▼ −9.91%$5.55 (+33.73%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Oct 1, 2026