8-K ·Filed Jul 23, 2026

NVR

NVR INC
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0000906163-26-000086
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp EPS miss and margin compression confirm deteriorating profitability despite unit order growth. Watch for further pricing weakness and cost pressures in the next quarter; the backlog increase provides some near-term revenue visibility but at lower average prices.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
NVR ▲ +2.36% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.36% · α vs SPY +0.95% · entry $6,155.02 → $6,300.00
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+48 -15.23% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 23, 01:51 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+4.22%
call -4.22% · α -4.12%
$6,414.67
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+2.17%
call -2.17% · α -1.70%
$6,288.68
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+2.36%
call -2.36% · α +0.95%
$6,300.00
settled 6w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NVR reported Q2 2026 diluted EPS of $83.96, a 22.6% decline YoY and an 11.5% miss vs consensus of $94.82. Consolidated revenue fell 10% to $2.33B, slightly below the $2.36B estimate. Homebuilding gross margin contracted to 19.2% from 21.5% due to pricing pressure, higher lot costs, and $21.7M in land deposit impairments. New orders rose 9% but average selling prices declined 5%, signaling ongoing affordability headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$83.96
est $94.82 · -11.4%
Revenue
$2.3B
est $2.4B · -1.3% · -10.4% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
19.2%

Key Facts

  • Diluted EPS $83.96 vs $108.54 YoY (-23%) and vs consensus $94.82 (-11.5%)
  • Consolidated revenue $2.33B vs $2.60B YoY (-10%)
  • Homebuilding gross margin 19.2% vs 21.5% YoY
  • New orders +9% to 5,885 units but average price -5% to $437,100
  • Settlements -8% to 5,058 units; average settlement price -3% to $450,700
  • Backlog units +9% to 10,998; dollar value +5% to $4.99B
  • Mortgage banking income $25.4M vs $29.6M YoY (-14%)
  • Share repurchases: 54,716 shares for $357.8M in Q2; YTD $989.7M

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~$10.86 vs consensus; revenue shortfall of ~$30M; gross margin compression of 230 bps

revenueepsgross marginhomebuilding incomemortgage banking income

Risk Factors

  • Continued affordability challenges and weak consumer sentiment pressuring pricing and margins
  • Higher lot costs and land deposit impairments may persist
  • Mortgage banking income declining on lower origination volume
  • Share repurchases provide EPS support but cannot offset fundamental earnings decline

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Operative Builders
Analyst Consensus
14% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000906163-26-000086
Document: nvr-20260723.htm0000906163-26-000086
Document: 0000906163-26-000086-index-headers.html0000906163-26-000086
Document: 0000906163-26-000086-index.html0000906163-26-000086
Document: 0000906163-26-000086.txt0000906163-26-000086
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000906163-26-000086
8 reports for NVR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for NVR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6,257.45 $6,338.92▲ +1.30%▼ −0.83%$5,964.11 (−4.69%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6,418.86 $6,368.12▼ −0.79%▼ −0.40%$5,964.11 (−7.08%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6,429.96 $6,248.37▼ −2.82%▼ −2.42%$5,964.11 (−7.24%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6,155.02 $6,288.68▼ −2.17%▼ −1.70%$5,964.11 (+3.10%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5,712.11 $6,008.05▲ +5.18%▲ +3.56%$5,964.11 (+4.41%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6,563.05 $6,273.85▲ +4.41%▲ +4.46%$5,964.11 (+9.13%)
Mar 17, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6,565.98 $6,464.57▼ −1.54%▲ +1.11%$5,964.11 (−9.17%)
Mar 6, 2026
30w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$6,921.86 $6,424.88▼ −7.18%▼ −5.65%$5,964.11 (−13.84%)
Showing 8 of 8

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