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SC 13D/A ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

NVAX

NOVAVAX INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed10d 14h ago SEC0001398344-26-018323
Activist stake amendment (position change)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The withdrawal of Shah Capital's SEC registration and stated intent to file on Schedule 13G signals the end of its activist campaign. The sale of 2.87M shares at ~$11.35 suggests the fund is reducing exposure. With the activist catalyst removed, NVAX loses a key near-term re-rating driver; watch for further share sales and reduced institutional interest.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
NVAX ▼ -13.12% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.12% · α vs SPY +12.98% · entry $10.82 → $9.40
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.64%
call -5.64% · α -5.30%
$11.43
settled 8d ago
T+5d
-13.12%
call +13.12% · α +12.98%
$9.40
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Shah Capital Management filed Amendment No. 8 to its Schedule 13D, reporting a reduction in its aggregate beneficial ownership to 10,656,964 shares (6.46%) as of October 16, 2026, down from a prior 9% stake. The filing discloses that Shah Capital voluntarily withdrew its SEC registration as an investment adviser and transitioned to a family office structure (Himanshu Shah Family Office LLC), and explicitly states the Reporting Persons no longer hold shares with a purpose of influencing control and intend to file on Schedule 13G going forward. This marks a significant de-escalation of the activist campaign, as Shah Capital sold 2,870,000 shares at ~$11.35 each and abandoned its prior demands for board changes, cost cuts, and share buybacks.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
6.46%
Stake Value
$10.7M
Investor
Shah Capital Management

Key Facts

  • Shah Capital Management withdrew its SEC registration as an investment adviser effective October 16, 2026, and transitioned to a family office structure.
  • Aggregate beneficial ownership decreased to 10,656,964 shares (6.46%), down from a prior 9% stake cited in the April 2026 open letter.
  • Shah Capital Fund LLC sold 2,870,000 shares at an average price of $11.3486 in October 2026.
  • Reporting Persons state they no longer hold shares with a purpose of influencing control and intend to report on Schedule 13G going forward.
  • The activist campaign is effectively ending — no further demands for board reduction, cost cuts, or share buybacks are asserted.

Financial Impact

Shah Capital sold 2,870,000 shares at ~$11.35 each, raising approximately $32.6 million. The stake dropped from ~9% to ~6.46%.

ownershipactivist pressure

Risk Factors

  • Shah Capital may continue to sell additional shares through the family office structure, further pressuring the stock.
  • The absence of activist pressure removes a key catalyst for governance changes and operational improvements.
  • High short interest (~30% short interest remains elevated, but without activist pressure, the stock may lack a near-term re-rating trigger.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D/A Filing (Primary)0001398344-26-018323
Document: 0001398344-26-018323-index.html0001398344-26-018323
Document: 0001398344-26-018323.txt0001398344-26-018323
6 reports for NVAX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for NVAX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.82 $9.40▼ −13.12%▼ −12.98%$9.40 (−13.12%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.82 $9.40▲ +13.12%▲ +12.98%$9.40 (+13.12%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.74 $8.14▲ +5.17%▲ +3.96%$9.40 (+21.45%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.36 $9.62▲ +2.78%▲ +1.65%$9.40 (+0.43%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.07 $8.03▼ −0.50%▼ −0.90%$9.40 (+16.48%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$11.19 $9.99▼ −10.72%▼ −9.60%$9.40 (−16.00%)
Showing 6 of 6

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Report published Oct 16, 2026