The strong revenue beat and guidance raise signal accelerating commercial momentum, particularly in oncology MRD, but the EPS miss due to rising R&D and SG&A spend warrants monitoring of expense trajectory. Watch for operating leverage as revenue scales and for progress toward profitability.
How the stock moved after the report
⚠ Clustered NEUTRAL VIEWSTOCK ABOVE ENTRY AT T+1- T+0 · Nov 6 $310.67entry
- T+1 · 3d ago +3.13%α +0.76% · $320.39
- T+3 · todayOpen
- T+5 · tomorrow Pending
- T+20 · in 25d Pending
- T+60 · in 3mo Pending
Price Chart
How similar events traded
Executive Summary
Natera reported Q3 2026 revenue of $794.0M (+34.1% YoY), beating the $707.5M consensus, and raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance by $140M at the midpoint to $3.005B-$3.035B. However, GAAP EPS of -$0.42 missed the consensus estimate of -$0.28 by 50%, driven by higher operating expenses. The strong revenue beat and guidance raise are offset by the EPS miss.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Q3 2026 total revenue of $794.0M, up 34.1% YoY from $592.2M
- GAAP net loss of $59.9M or ($0.42) per diluted share vs ($0.64) in Q3 2025
- GAAP EPS of ($0.42) missed consensus of ($0.28) by 50%
- Revenue of $794.0M beat consensus of $707.5M
- Raised 2026 annual revenue guidance by $140M at midpoint to $3.005B-$3.035B
- Gross margin of 64.7% vs 64.9% in Q3 2025; ex-true-ups non-GAAP gross margin up ~140 bps sequentially
- Processed ~1,093,100 total tests (+22.3% YoY) and ~339,500 oncology tests (+60.9% YoY)
- Clinical MRD oncology units grew ~33K sequentially to ~316K
- Cash increased by $5.7M from Q2 2026 to $1,097.2M
- Operating loss improved to $68.3M from $97.6M in Q3 2025
Financial Impact
Revenue beat consensus by $86.5M (+12.2%); EPS miss by $0.14 (-50%); full-year revenue guidance raised by $140M at midpoint
Risk Factors
- EPS miss of 50% versus consensus may pressure the stock despite revenue beat
- Rising operating expenses (R&D +19.5% YoY, SG&A +8.2% YoY) are outpacing revenue growth in absolute dollars
- Company remains unprofitable with net loss of $59.9M in the quarter
- Gross margin declined slightly YoY (64.7% vs 64.9%) and benefited from revenue true-ups that may not recur
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| 8-K Filing (Primary) | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| Document: ntra-20261105.htm | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| Document: ntra-20260930xex992.htm | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| Document: 0001604821-26-000032-index-headers.html | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| Document: 0001604821-26-000032-index.html | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| Document: 0001604821-26-000032.txt | 0001604821-26-000032 |
| 8-K Data (Synthetic) | 0001604821-26-000032 |
Track record
61 reports on NTRA
6 of 9 bullish or bearish reports moved the stock their way by T+1. Best: +6.55% at T+5 after the Oct 2, 2026 report. 6 of 9 went positive at some point.
Filters
- Nov 10, 20261d ago Insider Cluster Neutral 3/10 Entry $318.65 Now $311.98 −2.09% settles Nov 12
- Nov 6, 20265d ago SC 13G/A Neutral 3/10 Entry $310.67 to $320.39 Now $311.98 +0.42% ▲ +3.13% +0.76% vs SPY
- Nov 5, 20266d ago 8-K Mixed 6/10 Viewing Entry $310.67 to $320.39 Now $311.98 +0.42% ▲ +3.13% +0.76% vs SPY
- Nov 5, 20266d ago SC 13G Neutral 4/10 Entry $363.76 to $310.67 Now $311.98 −14.23% ▼ −14.59% −14.91% vs SPY
- Nov 4, 20266d ago Insider Cluster Neutral 2/10 Entry $363.76 to $310.67 Now $311.98 −14.23% ▼ −14.59% −14.91% vs SPY
- Nov 3, 20268d ago 144 Neutral 2/10 Entry $391.03 to $363.76 Now $311.98 −20.22% ▼ −6.97% −2.56% vs SPY
- Nov 2, 20269d ago 144 Neutral 2/10 Entry $388.63 to $391.03 Now $311.98 −19.72% ▲ +0.62% −1.03% vs SPY
- Nov 2, 20269d ago 144 Neutral 3/10 Entry $388.63 to $391.03 Now $311.98 −19.72% ▲ +0.62% −1.03% vs SPY
- Nov 2, 20269d ago 144 Neutral 1/10 Entry $388.63 to $391.03 Now $311.98 −19.72% ▲ +0.62% −1.03% vs SPY
- Nov 2, 20269d ago 144 Neutral 2/10 Entry $388.63 to $391.03 Now $311.98 −19.72% ▲ +0.62% −1.03% vs SPY
US Market Status
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