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8-K ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

NSLR

Neostellar Capital Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed22d 6h ago SEC0001493152-26-045747
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sequential NAV decline and large realized losses suggest portfolio marks are under pressure. Watch for the full Q3 earnings report in November 2026 for audited NAV and updated portfolio valuations. The $20M Magnetar note with a potential equity conversion feature at $230M+ gross proceeds creates a contingent dilution overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
NSLR ▼ -5.20% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.20% · α vs SPY +5.06% · entry $7.50 → $7.11
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+13 +5.54% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.33%
call +1.33% · α +1.09%
$7.40
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-5.20%
call +5.20% · α +5.06%
$7.11
settled 16d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 5d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Neostellar Capital Corp. issued a preliminary Q3 2026 portfolio update, estimating NAV per share of $12.25-$12.75, down from $13.44 at Q2-end. The company reported significant realized losses on portfolio exits, including a $5.6M loss on Learneo and a $2.5M loss on Aventine Property Group, while also abandoning its investment in CTN Holdings. A $20.0M Magnetar promissory note was drawn in July, adding debt to the balance sheet. The sequential NAV decline and realized losses are negative signals for a closed-end fund trading at a discount.

Key Facts

  • Estimated Q3 2026 NAV per share of $12.25-$12.75, down from $13.44 at June 30, 2026
  • Net assets estimated at $324M-$337M vs $355.9M at Q2-end, a decline of ~5-9%
  • Realized losses of $5.6M on Learneo (Course Hero) exit, $2.5M on Aventine Property Group, and $1.3M on abandoned CTN Holdings investment
  • Received $20.0M gross proceeds from a Magnetar-affiliated 6.50% redeemable promissory note due 2029
  • Liquid assets increased to $42.2M from $14.7M at Q2-end, partly from the note proceeds
  • Portfolio companies reduced to 34 from 37 at Q2-end; only 1 new investment (warrant exercise in Hearth for <$0.1M)
  • Note repurchase program continues; $35.8M of 6.00% Notes due 2026 remain available for repurchase
  • CEO commentary noted IPO market recovery 'slower than anticipated'

Financial Impact

NAV per share declined ~$0.70-$1.20 sequentially (5-9% drop); realized losses of ~$7.7M on portfolio exits in Q3; $20.0M new debt added via promissory note

navnet_asset_valuerealized_gains_lossesdebt

Risk Factors

  • Continued NAV erosion from portfolio markdowns on private holdings
  • Realized losses may accelerate if IPO market remains sluggish, limiting exit opportunities
  • The $20M Magnetar note adds leverage and interest expense (6.50% p.a.)
  • Potential dilution if the note converts to common stock upon a future capital raise of $230M+
  • Concentration risk in 30 private portfolio companies with limited liquidity

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-045747
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-045747
Document: 0001493152-26-045747-index-headers.html0001493152-26-045747
Document: 0001493152-26-045747-index.html0001493152-26-045747
Document: 0001493152-26-045747.txt0001493152-26-045747
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-045747
8 reports for NSLR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +5.20%Oct 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NSLR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.50 $7.40▲ +1.33%▲ +1.09%$5.83 (+22.27%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.50 $7.40▲ +1.33%▲ +1.09%$5.83 (+22.27%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.47 $7.44▼ −0.40%▼ −1.14%$5.83 (−21.95%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.10 $9.85▼ −2.48%▼ −1.93%$5.83 (−42.28%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.29 $10.20▼ −0.87%▼ −0.65%$5.83 (−43.34%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.64 $10.84▲ +1.88%▲ +1.63%$5.83 (−45.21%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.15 $10.65▼ −4.48%▼ −4.37%$5.83 (−47.71%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$11.48 $11.40▼ −0.70%▼ −1.13%$5.83 (−49.22%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 6m)

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Report published Oct 5, 2026