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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 7, 2026

NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002567
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The shelf effectiveness itself is a procedural step with no immediate trading catalyst. Monitor for subsequent prospectus supplements (424B filings) that would indicate an actual takedown, which could pressure the stock. Given the $536M market cap, a full $300M equity offering would be highly dilutive (~56%) but unlikely all at once.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
NRGV ▲ +10.03% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +10.03% · α vs SPY +10.43% · entry $3.49 → $3.84
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+54 +63.95% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.30%
call -4.30% · α -4.27%
$3.34
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+8.60%
call +8.60% · α +8.20%
$3.79
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+10.03%
call +10.03% · α +10.43%
$3.84
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Energy Vault's universal shelf registration (S-3, File No. 333-297547) was declared effective by the SEC on August 6, 2026. This enables the company to sell up to $300M in common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, depositary shares, warrants, purchase contracts, or units over the next three years, creating a potential dilution overhang but no immediate offering.

Key Facts

  • Universal shelf registration S-3 (File No. 333-297547) became effective August 6, 2026.
  • Maximum aggregate offering price registered: $300M.
  • Securities covered include common stock, preferred stock, debt, depositary shares, warrants, purchase contracts, and units.
  • Filing is a routine shelf replacement — no concurrent offering or pricing announced.
  • Prior S-3 filing on July 17, 2026 (21 days ago) signaled intent to replenish expiring shelf capacity.

Financial Impact

Up to $300M in potential securities issuance over three years; no immediate dilution as no offering is active.

dilutiondebtequity

Risk Factors

  • Future secondary offerings could dilute existing shareholders.
  • Any debt issuance would increase leverage.
  • Shelf allows the company to raise capital opportunistically, potentially at unfavorable terms if market conditions deteriorate.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002567
Document: 9999999995-26-002567-index.html9999999995-26-002567
Document: 9999999995-26-002567.txt9999999995-26-002567
14 reports for NRGV
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +29.34%Aug 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NRGV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.34 $4.32▲ +29.34%▲ +30.26%$2.67 (−20.03%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.49 $3.84▲ +10.03%▲ +10.43%$2.67 (−23.47%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$3.35 $3.86▲ +15.22%▲ +12.33%$2.67 (−20.27%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.02 $3.82▲ +26.49%▲ +22.37%$2.67 (−11.56%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.47 $2.51▼ −43.85%▼ −41.66%$2.67 (−40.25%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.30 $3.44▼ −20.00%▼ −21.78%$2.67 (−37.88%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.53 $5.47▲ +20.75%▲ +20.73%$2.67 (−41.04%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$5.03 $5.86▲ +16.50%▲ +11.55%$2.67 (−46.90%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.70 $5.08▲ +37.30%▲ +33.10%$2.67 (−27.81%)
Mar 25, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.68 $4.46▲ +21.20%▲ +13.33%$2.67 (−27.42%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 17m

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Report published Aug 7, 2026