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8-K ·Filed Jul 1, 2026

NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001828536-26-000083
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor whether Yorkville begins converting near the $1.19 floor, as that would trigger dilution. The backlog increase suggests potential revenue acceleration, but watch subsidiary covenant compliance (Cross Trails DSCR, CRC debt service). The equity cure right caps Cross Trails' default risk at four uses.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NRGV ▼ -3.80% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -3.80% · α vs SPY -6.76% · entry $4.47 → $4.30
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.62%
call -9.62% · α -9.49%
$4.04
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-15.21%
call -15.21% · α -15.47%
$3.79
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-43.85%
call -43.85% · α -41.66%
$2.51
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-3.80%
call -3.80% · α -6.76%
$4.30
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Energy Vault amended its convertible debenture facility with Yorkville, increasing capacity to $150M and issuing an additional $38M tranche (net ~$34.6M) at a 5% OID plus a $1.25M structuring fee. The debenture carries a 7.5% interest rate, a conversion floor of $1.19, and an exchange cap of 33.25M shares. Simultaneously, subsidiaries Calistoga Resiliency Center prepaid ~$5M of notes (waiving make-whole) and Cross Trails Energy Storage received a DSCR covenant waiver with an equity cure right. Management also disclosed a material backlog increase from $1.3B as of March 31, 2026. The combination of growth funding and backlog expansion offsets dilutive and covenant-stress concerns.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$38.0M
Dilution
18.5%

Key Facts

  • Securities Purchase Agreement capacity increased from $75M to $150M
  • Additional $38M principal of convertible debentures issued at 95% of par, net proceeds ~$34.6M
  • Conversion price: 97% of lowest 4-day VWAP, floor $1.19 per share
  • Exchange cap of 33,251,333 shares (19.99% of outstanding)
  • Maturity extended to July 1, 2027; interest rate 7.5% (18% default)
  • CRC subsidiary prepaid ~$5M of its $27.8M notes; make-whole waived, DSCR testing deferred to Nov 30, 2026
  • Cross Trails subsidiary received waiver for DSCR breach and added 4-shot equity cure right
  • Backlog increased materially from $1.3 billion as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

Net cash inflow of ~$34.6M from additional debenture; potential dilution of up to 33.25M shares (~18.5% of current outstanding); ~$5M debt prepayment reduces subsidiary leverage

dilutiondebtcashbacklog

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from debenture conversions could pressure stock price
  • Cross Trails DSCR breach signals project-level cash flow stress
  • Backlog conversion may be delayed by project contingencies

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001828536-26-000083
Exhibit: exhibit101-nrgvxfirstamend.htm0001828536-26-000083
Exhibit: exhibit102redacted-calisto.htm0001828536-26-000083
Exhibit: exhibit103redacted-crosstr.htm0001828536-26-000083
Document: nrgv-20260626.htm0001828536-26-000083
Document: 0001828536-26-000083-index-headers.html0001828536-26-000083
Document: 0001828536-26-000083-index.html0001828536-26-000083
Document: 0001828536-26-000083.txt0001828536-26-000083
14 reports for NRGV
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +29.34%Aug 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NRGV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.34 $4.32▲ +29.34%▲ +30.26%$2.99 (−10.48%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.49 $3.84▲ +10.03%▲ +10.43%$2.99 (−14.33%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$3.35 $3.86▲ +15.22%▲ +12.33%$2.99 (−10.75%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.02 $3.82▲ +26.49%▲ +22.37%$2.99 (−0.99%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.47 $2.51▼ −43.85%▼ −41.66%$2.99 (−33.11%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.30 $3.44▼ −20.00%▼ −21.78%$2.99 (−30.47%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.53 $5.47▲ +20.75%▲ +20.73%$2.99 (−34.00%)
May 5, 2026
25w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$5.03 $5.86▲ +16.50%▲ +11.55%$2.99 (−40.56%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.70 $5.08▲ +37.30%▲ +33.10%$2.99 (−19.19%)
Mar 25, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.68 $4.46▲ +21.20%▲ +13.33%$2.99 (−18.75%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 1, 2026