8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

NOV

NOV Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-322315
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat and improved Q3 guidance suggest operational recovery is gaining traction. However, the tariff refund benefit is non-recurring, and free cash flow remained negative (-$64M) due to working capital build. Monitor Q3 guidance execution and Middle East logistics for sustainability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
NOV ▲ +6.14% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.14% · α vs SPY +1.12% · entry $19.06 → $20.23
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +7.76% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.26%
call +1.26% · α -0.42%
$19.30
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+2.31%
call +2.31% · α -3.22%
$19.50
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+6.14%
call +6.14% · α +1.12%
$20.23
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NOV reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.31, crushing consensus of $0.16 by 93.6%, on revenue of $2.13B (slightly above $2.09B consensus). Adjusted EBITDA of $283M included a $40M tariff refund benefit. Q3 guidance calls for revenue flat to up 2% YoY with Adj. EBITDA of $240M-$270M, signaling improving demand despite ongoing Middle East disruptions.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.31
est $0.16 · +93.8%
Revenue
$2.1B
est $2.1B · +2.1% · -2.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
flat to up 2% YoY
maintained
Free Cash Flow
-$64.0M
Gross Margin
24.4%

Key Facts

  • Revenue $2.134B, up 4% sequentially, down 2% YoY
  • GAAP EPS $0.31 vs consensus $0.16 (+93.6%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $283M (includes ~$40M tariff refund benefit)
  • Q3 2026 guidance: revenue flat to up 2% YoY, Adj. EBITDA $240M-$270M
  • Returned $127M to shareholders via buybacks and dividends in Q2
  • Bookings $474M, book-to-bill 74%

Financial Impact

EPS beat of 93.6% is significant, but includes non-recurring tariff refund benefit of ~$40M in Adj. EBITDA. Revenue beat of 2.1% is modest.

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAguidance

Risk Factors

  • Middle East operational disruptions persist
  • Tariff refund benefit (~$40M) is non-recurring
  • Revenue still down 2% YoY; recovery uneven
  • Negative free cash flow in H1 2026 (-$155M)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
46% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-322315
Document: nov-20260728.htm0001193125-26-322315
Document: nov-ex99_2.htm0001193125-26-322315
Document: 0001193125-26-322315-index-headers.html0001193125-26-322315
Document: 0001193125-26-322315-index.html0001193125-26-322315
Document: 0001193125-26-322315.txt0001193125-26-322315
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-322315
9 reports for NOV
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +1.68%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NOV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$19.06 $20.23▲ +6.14%▲ +1.12%$18.94 (−0.63%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$19.06 $20.23▲ +6.14%▲ +1.12%$18.94 (−0.63%)
May 22, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.81 $18.82▼ −9.56%▼ −8.15%$18.94 (−8.99%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.77 $18.63▼ −10.31%▼ −10.64%$18.94 (−8.79%)
Apr 27, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$20.29 $21.12▼ −4.09%▲ +1.38%$18.94 (+6.65%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$19.02 $20.54▼ −7.99%▼ −1.95%$18.94 (+0.42%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$19.02 $20.54▼ −7.99%▼ −1.95%$18.94 (+0.42%)
Apr 9, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.59 $20.18▲ +3.01%▼ −4.56%$18.94 (−3.32%)
Mar 16, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.66 $19.02▲ +1.93%▼ −2.37%$18.94 (+1.50%)
Showing 9 of 9

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