6-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

NMR

NOMURA HOLDINGS INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-322197
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Nomura's record Q1 across multiple divisions confirms the transformation thesis. The 15.4% ROE substantially exceeds the 2030 target of 10-12%, signaling potential upward revision in market expectations. Monitor Wealth Management recurring revenue cost coverage ratio (now 76%) and Investment Banking deal pipeline — sustained performance could spark positive analyst upgrades. The strong Wealth Management and Investment Management results reduce earnings sensitivity to wholesale market volatility.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
NMR ▲ +3.93% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.93% · α vs SPY -1.09% · entry $9.67 → $10.05
Next anchor: T+60d in 19d
Latest observation: T+44 -11.95% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.14%
call -1.14% · α -2.81%
$9.56
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+2.69%
call +2.69% · α -2.84%
$9.93
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+3.93%
call +3.93% · α -1.09%
$10.05
settled 5w ago
T+60d
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call — · α —
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in 19d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Nomura Holdings reported exceptional Q1 FY2026/27 results, with net revenue of 686.7B yen (+31% YoY), net income of 145.6B yen (+39% YoY), and ROE of 15.4% — well above its 2030 target of 10-12%. All four divisions posted strong gains, with Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale all achieving record highs, signaling broad-based operational momentum and successful business model transformation.

Key Facts

  • Net revenue of 686.7B yen (US$4.2B), up 31% YoY and 19% QoQ
  • Net income of 145.6B yen (US$895M), up 39% YoY and 97% QoQ
  • Earnings per share of Y48.34; first-quarter ROE of 15.4%
  • Wealth Management net revenue 145.4B yen (+37% YoY), recurring revenue at record highs
  • Investment Management net revenue 98.3B yen (+94% YoY), AuM at all-time high of Y156 trillion
  • Wholesale net revenue 369.1B yen (+41% YoY), both net revenue and pretax income at record highs
  • Investment Banking 1Q net revenue exceeded Y50B for the first time at 50.4B yen
  • Banking net revenue 15.2B yen (+19% YoY); deposit sweep service gaining traction

Financial Impact

Revenue up 31% YoY to Y686.7B, net income up 39% YoY to Y145.6B, ROE of 15.4% vs 10-12% target range

revenuenet incomeepsroeassets under management

Risk Factors

  • Global market volatility could reverse Wholesale's strong performance
  • Japanese interest rate policy changes may impact Banking and fixed-income revenues
  • Sustaining the 15.4% ROE level against the 10-12% target may be challenged by market normalization

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-322197
Document: 0001193125-26-322197-index-headers.html0001193125-26-322197
Document: 0001193125-26-322197-index.html0001193125-26-322197
Document: 0001193125-26-322197.txt0001193125-26-322197
13 reports for NMR
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for NMR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.73 $10.14▼ −5.50%▼ −5.61%$9.74 (−9.23%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $9.45▼ −5.50%▼ −3.54%$9.74 (−2.60%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.67 $9.93▲ +2.69%▼ −2.84%$9.74 (+0.72%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.82 $9.67▼ −1.53%▲ +0.87%$9.74 (−0.81%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.40 $9.77▲ +3.94%▲ +4.62%$9.74 (+3.62%)
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.75 $9.39▼ −3.69%▼ −2.40%$9.74 (−0.10%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.78 $9.31▲ +6.04%▲ +5.43%$9.74 (+10.93%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.61 $8.98▲ +4.30%▲ +2.59%$9.74 (+13.12%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.64 $8.77▲ +1.50%▲ +0.49%$9.74 (+12.73%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.64 $8.77▲ +1.50%▲ +0.49%$9.74 (+12.73%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (36h 33m)

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