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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

NIO

NIO Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 20h ago
Institutional cluster: 2 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Assenagon exit is the only material signal in this cluster — a $19M full liquidation by a single active manager. With the 45-day reporting lag, the selling likely occurred weeks ago. Monitor upcoming 13F filings for follow-on selling or new accumulation by other funds. The small buyer activity is negligible and does not offset the exit.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
NIO ▼ -0.60% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.60% · α vs SPY +0.08% · entry $3.31 → $3.29
Next anchor: T+5d in 20h
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.60%
call +0.60% · α +0.08%
$3.29
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 20h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

NIO's 2026-Q3 institutional 13F cluster shows a stark divergence: two small asset managers modestly added positions (net +$292K), while three sellers — led by Assenagon's full exit of a $19M stake — drove aggregate net selling of -$18.7M. The cluster is dominated by a single large exit, making the net direction bearish despite the buyer count. The 45-day reporting lag means these positions are stale; the selling signal may already be priced in.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$1.2M
Sell Value
$19.0M
Net Flow
-$18.7M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$18.7M

▲ Buyers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vontobel HoldingDOUBLED+100.5%$1.0M$277.0K
Td Waterhouse CanadaADD+62.4%$156.0K$16.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementEXIT-100%$19.0M-$19.0M
Nisa Investment AdvisorsTRIM-55.7%$2.0K-$1.0K
AssetmarkTRIM-41.5%$15.0K-$9.0K

Key Facts

  • Aggregate institutional activity: 2 buyers (net +$292K) vs 3 sellers (net -$19.0M) = net -$18.7M
  • Assenagon Asset Management fully exited a $19.0M position (3.76M shares) — the dominant signal in the cluster
  • Vontobel Holding doubled its stake to 305.1K shares ($1.0M), the largest buyer by value
  • Td Waterhouse Canada added 62.4% to a small $156K position
  • Two other sellers (Nisa Investment Advisors, Assetmark) trimmed negligible sub-$15K positions

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $18.7M, driven entirely by Assenagon's full $19.0M exit. Buyer activity was trivial at $292K combined.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; the Assenagon exit may have already been fully absorbed by the market
  • Small sample size (2 buyers, 3 sellers) limits statistical significance
  • No insider buying corroboration to offset the institutional selling signal

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-NIO-2026-Q3
19 reports for NIO
Performance horizon
20% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 10 best @ T+1▲ +4.80%Jul 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$3.31 $3.29▲ +0.60%▲ +0.08%—
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.37 $3.42▼ −1.48%▼ −0.81%—
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.40 $3.37▼ −0.88%▼ −1.62%—
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.59 $3.40▼ −5.29%▼ −5.11%—
Sep 27, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.59 $3.40▼ −5.29%▼ −5.11%—
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.06 $3.86▼ −4.93%▼ −5.37%—
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.06 $3.86▼ −4.93%▼ −5.37%—
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.06 $3.86▼ −4.93%▼ −5.37%—
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.06 $3.86▼ −4.93%▼ −5.37%—
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.53 $4.63▲ +2.21%▲ +1.80%—
Showing 10 of 19

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Report published Oct 21, 2026