8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

NI

NISOURCE INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001111711-26-000087
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The GAAP miss is largely non-recurring (lockout, storm costs), and the reaffirmed guidance and data center regulatory approvals support the long-term thesis. Monitor Q3 for normalization of operating costs and progress on the $28.6B capital plan.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
NI ▼ -4.10% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.10% · α vs SPY -3.50% · entry $42.91 → $41.15
Next anchor: T+60d in 27d
Latest observation: T+39 -2.25% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 5, 06:30 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.10%
call +1.10% · α +1.26%
$43.38
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-2.14%
call -2.14% · α -2.49%
$41.99
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-4.10%
call -4.10% · α -3.50%
$41.15
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 27d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NiSource reported Q2 2026 GAAP EPS of $0.09, down sharply from $0.22 a year ago, driven by a $21.4M lockout cost and elevated storm activity. However, non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $0.16 matched consensus, and the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.02-$2.07 and its 9%-10% long-term CAGR. The $28.6B capital plan and regulatory approvals for Amazon/Alphabet data center contracts support the long-term growth narrative, but the GAAP earnings miss and one-time operational disruptions are near-term headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.16
est $0.16 · 0.0%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • GAAP EPS fell to $0.09 from $0.22 YoY, a 59% decline, due to $21.4M in NIPSCO lockout costs and elevated storm activity.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $0.16 matched consensus estimates of $0.16.
  • 2026 non-GAAP adjusted EPS guidance reaffirmed at $2.02-$2.07, implying ~8% YoY growth at the midpoint.
  • 2026-2033 non-GAAP adjusted EPS CAGR reaffirmed at 9%-10%.
  • $28.6B 2026-2030 capital plan includes $7.6B for strategic data center infrastructure.
  • Regulatory approvals received for Amazon and Alphabet special contracts, advancing the data center strategy.

Financial Impact

Non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $0.16 matched consensus, but GAAP EPS of $0.09 was a 59% YoY decline. Full-year guidance unchanged.

epsnetIncomeoperatingExpenses

Risk Factors

  • Further operational disruptions or labor issues at NIPSCO.
  • Execution risk on the large data center infrastructure buildout and associated financing.
  • Regulatory lag or disallowances on capital investments.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electric & Other Services Combined
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001111711-26-000087
Document: nix-20260805.htm0001111711-26-000087
Document: 0001111711-26-000087-index-headers.html0001111711-26-000087
Document: 0001111711-26-000087-index.html0001111711-26-000087
Document: 0001111711-26-000087.txt0001111711-26-000087
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001111711-26-000087
6 reports for NI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for NI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.91 $41.15▼ −4.10%▼ −3.50%$39.43 (−8.11%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$45.37 $42.12▼ −7.16%▼ −9.73%$39.43 (−13.09%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$47.42 $47.21▼ −0.44%▲ +0.42%$39.43 (−16.85%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$47.03 $46.33▼ −1.49%▼ −1.18%$39.43 (−16.16%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.51 $45.53▼ −4.17%▼ −6.95%$39.43 (−17.01%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$46.21 $48.50▲ +4.95%▼ −7.64%$39.43 (−14.67%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 41m)

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