S-4 ·Filed Jul 9, 2026

NEE

NEXTERA ENERGY INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-082301
Notable filing: S-4
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor shareholder vote outcomes and regulatory milestones (FERC, NRC, VSCC, NCUC, SCPSC). The fixed exchange ratio means NEE's stock price will determine D shareholders' actual consideration at close — track NEE price relative to D. The $360M cash component and $2.25B customer bill credits are incremental offsets. Deal spread and regulatory timeline risk are the primary trading variables.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
NEE ▼ -3.76% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.76% · α vs SPY -6.19% · entry $87.96 → $84.65
Next anchor: T+60d due just now
Latest observation: T+58 -3.99% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 9, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.43%
call +0.43% · α +1.21%
$88.34
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.58%
call +1.58% · α +2.14%
$89.35
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-3.76%
call -3.76% · α -6.19%
$84.65
settled 8w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due just now

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NextEra Energy has filed an S-4 registration statement for its acquisition of Dominion Energy in a stock-and-cash merger valued at approximately $67.1B. Dominion shareholders will receive 0.8138 NEE shares plus a pro-rata portion of $360M in cash per share. The combined company would be the largest U.S. utility with ~$420B enterprise value, ~10M customers, and ~110 GW of generation capacity. Closing is targeted for H2 2027 subject to shareholder and multiple regulatory approvals. The filing is the preliminary joint proxy/prospectus — no pricing or voting outcomes are set.

Key Facts

  • Exchange ratio: 0.8138 NEE shares per D share + pro-rata $360M aggregate cash (fixed)
  • Registration covers up to ~807.6M NEE shares; maximum aggregate offering price ~$67.1B
  • Combined company ~$420B enterprise value, ~$249B market cap, ~110 GW generation, ~10M utility customers
  • $2.25B in customer bill credits allocated over first two years post-closing
  • Expected immediately accretive to adjusted EPS with >9% CAGR through 2032
  • NextEra shareholders ~74.5%, Dominion shareholders ~25.5% of combined company (based on May 14, 2026 share counts)
  • Approval requires: NextEra share issuance vote (simple majority of votes cast) + Dominion majority-of-outstanding vote
  • Termination fees: NextEra pays $6.52B (superior proposal) or $4.83B (regulatory); Dominion pays $2.24B
  • Expected closing: H2 2027, extendable to August 15, 2028; subject to FERC, NRC, VSCC, NCUC, SCPSC, HSR approvals
  • Intends to qualify as tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a); Kirkland and McGuireWoods have delivered opinions

Financial Impact

Maximum aggregate offering price of $67.1B for up to 807.6M NEE shares; pro forma revenues $42.9B (2025), net income $8.95B, EPS $3.20 basic / $3.19 diluted

revenueepstotal assetslong-term debttotal equitydilution

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval failure or material conditions from FERC, NRC, or state commissions
  • Shareholder vote failure for either NEE or D — NEE requires simple majority of votes cast; D requires majority of outstanding shares
  • Fixed exchange ratio exposes D shareholders to NEE stock price decline before close
  • Execution risk in integrating two large regulated utilities with multiple state jurisdictions
  • Potential litigation challenging the merger

Market Snapshot

Price
$87.10
Volume
150
Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electric Services
Analyst Consensus
66% bullish (29 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 16 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d13_ex-filingfees.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex5-1.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex8-1.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex8-2.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-5.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-3.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-4.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-6.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex99-7.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex23-2.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: tm2614888d15_ex23-1.htm0001104659-26-082301
Document: 0001104659-26-082301-index-headers.html0001104659-26-082301
Document: 0001104659-26-082301-index.html0001104659-26-082301
Document: 0001104659-26-082301.txt0001104659-26-082301
24 reports for NEE
Performance horizon
29% Hit rate 2 of 7 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +1.64%May 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NEE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$81.07 $79.26▼ −2.23%▼ −4.36%$76.35 (−5.82%)
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$81.07 $79.26▼ −2.23%▼ −4.36%$76.35 (−5.82%)
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$83.43 $81.63▼ −2.16%▼ −0.95%$76.35 (−8.49%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$84.22 $82.93▼ −1.53%▼ −0.99%$76.35 (−9.34%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.22 $82.93▼ −1.53%▼ −0.99%$76.35 (−9.34%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
425 / 8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$85.74 $86.22▲ +0.56%▲ +0.96%$76.35 (−10.95%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.65 $86.19▲ +1.82%▲ +1.42%$76.35 (−9.80%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$89.78 $87.93▼ −2.06%▼ −2.43%$76.35 (−14.96%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$89.78 $87.93▼ −2.06%▼ −2.43%$76.35 (−14.96%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$89.35 $89.79▲ +0.49%▲ +2.16%$76.35 (−14.55%)
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

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