Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Jul 6, 2026

NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $22.9M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The simultaneous sale by the CEO, CTO, and infrastructure chief is unusual in timing and size for a $54.7B company. While the $22.94M sum is a small fraction of market cap, the coordination across C-suite members warrants caution. Monitor for any upcoming 8-K with guidance or operational news — recent historical reports on NBIS show bearish calls here have been correct with large T+20 downside (avg -25% on score 6 short reads). Consider hedging or reducing position until the next earnings or a material disclosure clarifies the reason.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
NBIS ▲ +11.42% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -11.42% · α vs SPY -9.52% · entry $213.02 → $237.36
Entry anchored
Jul 6, 11:56 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-8.37%
call +8.37% · α +7.89%
$195.19
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+3.11%
call -3.11% · α -2.62%
$219.65
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-10.61%
call +10.61% · α +10.05%
$190.41
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+11.42%
call -11.42% · α -9.52%
$237.36
settled 3d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three top Nebius executives — CEO, CTO, and Chief Infrastructure Officer — all sold shares on the same day (July 1, 2026) at $235.45, totaling $22.94M. This is a large cluster by dollar value given the $54.7B market cap, though insider sales generally carry less predictive weight than buys. The stock has been highly volatile (prior bearish reports correctly called sharp declines), and the calibration data shows that cluster sales at score 6 have a net negative expected payoff.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$22.9M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CEO Arkadiy Volozh sold 46,627 shares for $10.98M
  • CTO Danila Shtan sold 16,937 shares for $3.99M
  • Chief Infrastructure Officer Andrey Korolenko sold 33,871 shares for $7.97M
  • All three sales occurred on July 1, 2026 at $235.45/share
  • Total insider sales of $22.94M represent approximately 0.04% of $54.7B market cap
  • Cluster is purely open-market sales (all code S) — no non-cash transactions

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $22.94M (~0.04% of market cap)

dilution (none)insider ownership reduction

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales at this level from three C-suite members may signal concerns about near-term valuation
  • NBIS has been highly volatile historically — recent bearish calls on the stock were correct, with average T+20 downside of -25%
  • This cluster may precede a secondary offering or lockup expiry, though no such filing is present here
  • No 10b5-1 plan context available — cannot confirm if these were pre-scheduled trades

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-NBIS-1783353697243
19 reports for NBIS
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +56.25%Jul 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NBIS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$213.93 $243.48▲ +13.81%▲ +13.59%$242.81 (+13.50%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$220.11 $223.54▲ +1.56%▲ +1.56%$242.81 (+10.31%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$223.90 $217.99▲ +2.64%▲ +0.69%$242.81 (−8.45%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$248.43 $209.37▼ −15.72%▼ −14.41%$242.81 (−2.26%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$255.04 $224.55▼ −11.96%▼ −10.21%$242.81 (−4.80%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$177.71 $277.68▲ +56.25%▲ +51.81%$242.81 (+36.63%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$213.02 $190.41▲ +10.61%▲ +10.05%$242.81 (−13.98%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$213.02 $190.41▼ −10.61%▼ −10.05%$242.81 (+13.98%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$265.10 $194.09▼ −26.79%▼ −26.99%$242.81 (−8.41%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$227.81 $213.02▼ −6.49%▼ −8.35%$242.81 (+6.58%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 50m)

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Report published Jul 6, 2026