8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

NATL

NCR Atleos Corp
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001974138-26-000004
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The earnings miss on adjusted EPS is notable but likely secondary to the Brinks acquisition process. Monitor regulatory filings and shareholder vote timelines for the merger; standalone operational trends (margins, cash flow) are deteriorating.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
NATL ▲ +5.33% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +5.33% · α vs SPY +1.50% · entry $44.25 → $46.61
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.05%
call +0.05% · α -0.78%
$44.27
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.06%
call +1.06% · α -0.44%
$44.72
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-0.38%
call -0.38% · α -3.52%
$44.08
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+5.33%
call +5.33% · α +1.50%
$46.61
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NCR Atleos reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.04B (+7% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.29 (+53% YoY), but adjusted EPS of $0.65 missed consensus of $0.89 by 27%. Adjusted EBITDA was flat at $172M, and operating cash flow turned negative. No guidance was provided due to the pending acquisition by Brinks, which remains the dominant stock driver.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.65
est $0.89 · -27.0%
Revenue
$1.0B
+7.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
-$13.0M
Gross Margin
22.4%

Key Facts

  • Total revenue of $1.043B, up 7% YoY, 72% recurring
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.29, up 53% YoY; adjusted diluted EPS $0.65, up 2% YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA $172M, flat YoY; net income attributable to Atleos $22M, up 57% YoY
  • Adjusted EPS $0.65 vs consensus $0.89 (miss of 27%)
  • No financial guidance provided; share repurchase suspended due to pending Brinks acquisition (expected close Q1 2027)
  • Gross margin declined to 22.4% (from 23.7%), impacted by ~$11M in tariff and memory cost headwinds

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of 27% vs consensus is significant, but revenue growth and the pending acquisition mute the standalone earnings impact.

adjustedEPSgrossMarginoperatingCashFlowguidance

Risk Factors

  • Brinks acquisition delay or termination
  • Further tariff and cost headwinds pressuring margins
  • Negative operating cash flow could constrain liquidity before deal close

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers)
Analyst Consensus
55% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001974138-26-000004
Document: natl-20260506.htm0001974138-26-000004
Document: 0001974138-26-000004-index-headers.html0001974138-26-000004
Document: 0001974138-26-000004-index.html0001974138-26-000004
Document: 0001974138-26-000004.txt0001974138-26-000004
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001974138-26-000004
10 reports for NATL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for NATL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$46.81 $45.79▼ −2.18%▼ −1.58%$45.42 (−2.97%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$44.09 $47.51▲ +7.76%▲ +9.94%$45.42 (+3.02%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.57 $47.43▲ +8.86%▲ +9.01%$45.42 (+4.25%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.57 $47.43▲ +8.86%▲ +9.01%$45.42 (+4.25%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
DEFM14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$45.10 $43.31▼ −3.97%▼ −2.07%$45.42 (+0.71%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$44.72 $44.17▼ −1.23%▼ −0.62%$45.42 (+1.57%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$44.25 $44.08▼ −0.38%▼ −3.52%$45.42 (+2.64%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 4/10
$44.25 $44.08▼ −0.38%▼ −3.52%$45.42 (+2.64%)
Apr 3, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$43.84 $44.04▲ +0.46%▼ −8.53%$45.42 (+3.60%)
Mar 5, 2026
30w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$46.34 $43.70▼ −5.70%▼ −1.91%$45.42 (−1.99%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 4m)

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