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8-K ·Filed Nov 2, 2026

MTUS

Metallus Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2d 1h ago SEC0001193125-26-443736
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The DLA contract (up to $995M) provides multi-year revenue visibility in aerospace & defense, which achieved a $250M annualized run-rate. Q4's guided sequential EBITDA decline is seasonal and expected. Monitor Q4 results for the full-year $100-$105M adjusted EBITDA target and any further DLA delivery orders.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks

How the stock moved after the report

⚠ Clustered BULLISH VIEWSTOCK BELOW ENTRY AT T+1
Entry
$19.69
T+0 close · Nov 2, 2026 · via day close
Latest settled
−9.24%
T+1 · $17.87
vs SPY
−10.89%
α at T+1
Next horizon
T+5
in 5d
  1. T+0 · Nov 2 $19.69entry
  2. T+1 · yesterday −9.24%α −10.89% · $17.87
  3. T+2 · todayOpen
  4. T+5 · in 5d Pending
  5. T+20 · in 27d Pending
  6. T+60 · in 3mo Pending
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Executive Summary

Metallus reported Q3 2026 net sales of $337.2M (+10% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.55, well above the $0.29 consensus. Adjusted EBITDA rose 19% YoY to $34.5M. The company was awarded a DLA contract with an initial $125M purchase order and up to $995M over five years. However, Q4 adjusted EBITDA guidance is lower sequentially due to planned annual maintenance shutdown, and full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is guided to $100-$105M.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS (Adj.)
$0.35
est $0.29 · +20.7% · GAAP: $0.55
Revenue
$337.2M
est $344.0M · -2.0% · +10.2% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
-$6.3M
Gross Margin
10.8%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 net sales $337.2M, up 10% YoY from $305.9M
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.55 vs consensus $0.29 (beat)
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.35 vs consensus $0.29 (beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $34.5M, up 19% YoY and sequentially
  • Awarded DLA contract with initial $125M purchase order, contract value up to $995M over 5 years
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA expected lower sequentially due to $10-$15M impact from annual shutdown
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance $100-$105M
  • Cash and cash equivalents $98.6M, total liquidity $388.7M
  • Repurchased 0.2M shares for $3.6M in Q3

Financial Impact

Net sales +10% YoY to $337.2M; GAAP net income $23.8M vs $8.1M YoY; adjusted EBITDA $34.5M vs $29.0M YoY; DLA contract up to $995M over 5 years

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAbacklog

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenue
Industrial$115.1M
Automotive$123.6M
Aerospace & Defense$66.4M
Energy$25.4M
Other$6.7M

Risk Factors

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA expected lower due to annual maintenance shutdown ($10-$15M impact)
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance $100-$105M implies Q4 adjusted EBITDA roughly $12-$17M, a significant sequential drop
  • Sequential net sales declined 1% QoQ; shipments down 5% QoQ
  • Manufacturing costs increased due to planned shutdown timing and electricity curtailments
  • CEO transition planned for year-end 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-443736
Document: mtus-20261102.htm0001193125-26-443736
Document: 0001193125-26-443736-index-headers.html0001193125-26-443736
Document: 0001193125-26-443736-index.html0001193125-26-443736
Document: 0001193125-26-443736.txt0001193125-26-443736
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-443736
9 reports for MTUS
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
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Reports for MTUS, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Nov 4, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.60awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$17.87 (−8.83%)
Nov 2, 2026
2d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.69 $17.87▼ −9.24%▼ −10.89%$17.87 (−9.24%)
Nov 2, 2026
2d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.69 $17.87▼ −9.24%▼ −10.89%$17.87 (−9.24%)
Nov 2, 2026
2d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$19.69 $17.87▼ −9.24%▼ −10.89%$17.87 (−9.24%)
Oct 5, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$20.92 $19.97▲ +4.54%▲ +4.30%$17.87 (+14.58%)
Oct 5, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.92 $19.97▼ −4.54%▼ −4.30%$17.87 (−14.58%)
Oct 2, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$19.89 $21.04▲ +5.78%▲ +5.11%$17.87 (−10.16%)
Jul 1, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.03 $17.50▼ −2.94%▼ −2.81%$17.87 (−0.89%)
May 4, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$19.28 $19.07▼ −1.09%▼ −2.47%$17.87 (−7.31%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Thu (< 1m)

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Report published Nov 2, 2026