Institutional Cluster

MSTR

Strategy Inc
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The all-passive composition of this cluster significantly reduces its signal value. Monitor next 13F season for active manager positioning. The lack of sellers suggests no institutional distress, but price action will depend on BTC-related catalysts.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MSTR ▼ -21.86% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -21.86% · α vs SPY -23.75% · entry $120.15 → $93.89
Next anchor: T+60d due 24d ago
Latest observation: T+58 +60.67% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 07:23 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.18%
call +3.18% · α +2.64%
$123.97
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-2.99%
call -2.99% · α -3.42%
$116.56
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-21.86%
call -21.86% · α -23.75%
$93.89
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 24d ago

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional funds (State Street, Schwab, Wells Fargo) increased their MSTR holdings by a combined $418.8M in Q1 2025, with no institutional selling in the cluster. The buying is entirely from index/ETFs, signaling passive rebalancing rather than active conviction, and lacks the strong signal of active manager accumulation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$1.8B
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$418.8M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $418.8M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetADD+29.4%$1.4B$320.6M
SchwabADD+32.6%$291.3M$70.6M
Wells FargoADD+35.9%$105.9M$27.6M

Key Facts

  • 3 institutions added MSTR positions totaling $418.8M in Q1 2025
  • All buyers are mega-passive funds (State Street, Schwab, Wells Fargo)
  • No institutional sellers in the cluster
  • Net direction: accumulating, but driven by passive rebalancing

Financial Impact

Institutions accumulated $418.8M in MSTR shares during Q1 2025, representing approximately 1.04% of market cap ($40.4B).

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive inflows are mechanical and may reverse if index rebalancing changes
  • 13F data is 45 days stale; positions may have already been unwound
  • No active manager involvement limits edge signal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MSTR-2025-Q1
34 reports for MSTR
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate 6 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +17.41%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MSTR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$136.94 $168.50▲ +23.05%▲ +22.94%—
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$124.88 $132.70▲ +6.26%▲ +6.18%—
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.94 $136.52▲ +2.69%▲ +2.83%—
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$122.63 $132.94▲ +8.41%▲ +7.94%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$97.68 $122.63▲ +25.54%▲ +26.73%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.33 $97.68▲ +0.36%▲ +0.41%—
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$94.86 $97.33▲ +2.60%▲ +0.58%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$93.28 $100.01▼ −7.21%▼ −3.70%—
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.65 $93.28▼ −5.44%▼ −6.52%—
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$97.82 $91.67▼ −6.29%▼ −5.86%—
Showing 10 of 34

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026