8-K ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

MSTR

Strategy Inc
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-301483
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The weekly ATM pace of ~$467M is consistent with the company's capital strategy. Traders should monitor the depletion of existing ATM capacity and the start of the $21B MSTR Increase, which will accelerate dilution. No BTC purchases suggest the company is building cash reserves, possibly for future large buys or to service preferred dividends.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MSTR ▲ +5.68% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +5.68% · α vs SPY +2.49% · entry $92.10 → $97.33
Next anchor: T+60d in 4d
Latest observation: T+54 +101.39% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 13, 07:23 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+5.95%
call +5.95% · α +5.59%
$97.58
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.99%
call +2.99% · α +3.77%
$94.85
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+5.68%
call +5.68% · α +2.49%
$97.33
settled 8w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Strategy Inc disclosed a routine weekly update: no bitcoin purchases, no share repurchases, but sold 4.8M shares of common stock (MSTR) via ATM for net proceeds of $466.7M during the week ending July 12, 2026. The USD reserve stands at $3.0B. The massive remaining ATM capacity ($23.8B for MSTR) signals continued dilution ahead.

Key Facts

  • Sold 4,818,781 shares of MSTR common stock via ATM, net proceeds $466.7M
  • No bitcoin purchases or share repurchases during the period
  • Aggregate BTC holdings: 843,775 at avg purchase price of $75,476
  • USD Reserve balance: $3.0 billion as of July 12, 2026
  • Remaining ATM capacity: $23.79B for MSTR, $17.51B for STRC, $4.01B for STRD, $2.10B for STRK, $1.62B for STRF

Financial Impact

Raised $466.7M in net proceeds from ATM sales; ongoing dilution of ~2.9% of shares outstanding (assuming 166M shares) this week

dilutionshare countcash reserves

Risk Factors

  • Continued equity dilution from massive ATM capacity ($23.8B remaining)
  • Dependence on Bitcoin price for NAV and balance sheet health
  • Dividend obligations on preferred stock require sustained cash flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-301483
Document: 0001193125-26-301483-index-headers.html0001193125-26-301483
Document: 0001193125-26-301483-index.html0001193125-26-301483
Document: 0001193125-26-301483.txt0001193125-26-301483
34 reports for MSTR
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate 6 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +17.41%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MSTR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$136.94 $168.50▲ +23.05%▲ +22.94%$157.15 (+14.75%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$124.88 $132.70▲ +6.26%▲ +6.18%$157.15 (+25.84%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.94 $136.52▲ +2.69%▲ +2.83%$157.15 (+18.21%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$122.63 $132.94▲ +8.41%▲ +7.94%$157.15 (+28.15%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$97.68 $122.63▲ +25.54%▲ +26.73%$157.15 (+60.88%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.33 $97.68▲ +0.36%▲ +0.41%$157.15 (+61.46%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$94.86 $97.33▲ +2.60%▲ +0.58%$157.15 (+65.66%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$93.28 $100.01▼ −7.21%▼ −3.70%$157.15 (−68.47%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.65 $93.28▼ −5.44%▼ −6.52%$157.15 (+59.30%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$97.82 $91.67▼ −6.29%▼ −5.86%$157.15 (+60.65%)
Showing 10 of 34

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