8-K ·Filed Jul 1, 2026

MSM

MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC0001003078-26-000078
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and raised guidance confirm an inflection in MSC's industrial end-market demand and operating leverage. Watch for follow-through in Q4 results (Oct 22) and potential upward revisions to full-year EPS estimates. The stock likely gaps up on this release.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MSM ▼ -2.12% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.12% · α vs SPY -5.07% · entry $123.34 → $120.73
Entry anchored
Jun 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.45%
call -0.45% · α -0.32%
$122.78
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.65%
call -2.65% · α -2.91%
$120.07
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-1.92%
call -1.92% · α +0.26%
$120.97
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-2.12%
call -2.12% · α -5.07%
$120.73
settled 7d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MSC Industrial reported a strong fiscal Q3 2026 beat, with GAAP EPS of $1.44 (13.5% above consensus of $1.26) on revenue of $1,047.1M (+7.8% YoY, 1.7% above estimates). Operating margin expanded 170bps to 10.2% (10.6% adjusted), and Q4 guidance was raised above prior expectations, signaling accelerating volume growth and cost leverage.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.44
est $1.26 · +13.5%
Revenue
$1.0B
est $1.0B · +1.7% · +7.8% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Gross Margin
41.1%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS $1.44 vs consensus $1.26 (beat by 13.5%)
  • Revenue $1,047.1M, +7.8% YoY, above high-end of guidance
  • Operating margin 10.2% GAAP (10.6% adjusted), +170bps YoY
  • Q4 guidance: ADS growth 6.5%-8.5%, adjusted op margin 10.0%-10.8% (raised vs prior Q3 guide of 5%-7% and 9.7%-10.3%)
  • Volumes returned to growth in the quarter; Core Customer and National Accounts both improved
  • Full-year FY2026 outlook maintained for D&A ($100M), interest ($30M), capex ($90M), FCF conversion (95%), tax rate (24.5%-25.5%)

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.17 vs consensus on $17M revenue upside; Q4 guidance midpoint implies ~7.5% ADS growth and 10.4% adjusted margin, both above prior quarter's guide

revenueepsoperating marginguidance

Risk Factors

  • Industrial demand remains cyclical; tariff and commodity price volatility could pressure margins
  • Guidance assumes continued volume recovery; any macro slowdown would reverse the trend
  • Restructuring and litigation costs ($7.2M combined) are recurring headwinds to GAAP earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
36% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001003078-26-000078
Document: msm-20260701.htm0001003078-26-000078
Document: 0001003078-26-000078-index-headers.html0001003078-26-000078
Document: 0001003078-26-000078-index.html0001003078-26-000078
Document: 0001003078-26-000078.txt0001003078-26-000078
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001003078-26-000078
4 reports for MSM
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for MSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$123.34 $120.73▼ −2.12%▼ −5.07%$130.12 (+5.50%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$115.18 $120.51▲ +4.63%▲ +1.48%$130.12 (+12.97%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$94.17 $123.99▲ +31.67%▲ +24.62%$130.12 (+38.18%)
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$90.67 $116.67▲ +28.67%▲ +15.29%$130.12 (+43.51%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 35m)

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