The timing of Althoff's sale is noteworthy (post-earnings, near 52-week low), but dollar amount is trivial relative to market cap and insider sales have weak predictive power per academic research. No bearish signal warranted — monitor for larger-scale C-suite selling before reading negative sentiment into this cluster.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
A cluster of open-market insider sales totaling $8.18M occurred at Microsoft over the past week, led by CEO of Microsoft Commercial division Judson Althoff ($7.15M). This is accompanied by routine director stock grants on June 5. While the dollar value is negligible relative to Microsoft's $3T market cap, a c-suite sale of this magnitude is notable for timing, especially given the stock's recent decline from $403 to $397 range.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- 2 open-market sales by insiders in 7 days totaling $8.18M
- Judson Althoff (CEO Microsoft Commercial) sold 15,500 shares at ~$460.99 on June 1 for $7.15M
- Numoto Takeshi (EVP, Chief Marketing Officer) sold 2,500 shares at $412.45 on June 8 for $1.03M
- 11 directors received annual stock grants on June 5 (non-cash, $0 value, unrelated to sales)
- Total sales value is ~0.0003% of Microsoft's $2,996.7B market cap — immaterial by proportionality
- Historical win rate on MSFT insider-cluster reports at T+20 is only 25%
- Stock is down 1.5% on the day to $397.36, near its 52-week low
Financial Impact
$8.18M in total insider open-market sales — negigible vs $3T market cap
Risk Factors
- Insider sales may signal bearish view of near-term business trends if this is not routine portfolio rebalancing
- Stock has been underperforming recently; further selling could amplify negative sentiment
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | cluster-MSFT-1781128937175 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 23, 2026 9d ago | ANALYST-UPGRADE | $500.59 $518.86 | ▲ +3.65% | ▲ +3.51% | $519.22 (+3.72%) |
Sep 14, 2026 18d ago | 144 | $505.41 $501.61 | ▼ −0.75% | ▼ −0.86% | $519.22 (+2.73%) |
Sep 2, 2026 4w ago | 8-K | $496.82 $492.44 | ▼ −0.88% | ▲ +0.08% | $519.22 (+4.51%) |
Sep 1, 2026 4w ago | 144 | $501.02 $491.65 | ▼ −1.87% | ▼ −1.95% | $519.22 (+3.63%) |
Aug 11, 2026 7w ago | Court Ruling | $503.81 $481.63 | ▼ −4.40% | ▼ −4.00% | $519.22 (+3.06%) |
Aug 7, 2026 8w ago | Court Ruling | $499.68 $495.40 | ▼ −0.86% | ▼ −1.25% | $519.22 (+3.91%) |
Aug 6, 2026 8w ago | Insider Cluster | $499.68 $495.40 | ▼ −0.86% | ▼ −1.25% | $519.22 (+3.91%) |
Aug 5, 2026 8w ago | Court Ruling | $487.46 $492.43 | ▲ +1.02% | ▲ +0.67% | $519.22 (+6.52%) |
Aug 5, 2026 8w ago | 144 | $487.46 $492.43 | ▲ +1.02% | ▲ +0.67% | $519.22 (+6.52%) |
Aug 4, 2026 8w ago | 144 | $492.37 $503.48 | ▲ +2.26% | ▲ +2.36% | $519.22 (+5.46%) |
US Market Status
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