SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed May 14, 2026

MRLN

Merlin, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001624
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness unlocks immediate share sales by the selling stockholder, likely creating downward pressure on MRLN. Monitor for a pricing announcement and any insider selling. The cross-filing amplifier (IPO context + shelf context) suggests this is a material overhang event — consider short-term bearish positioning.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MRLN ▼ -37.11% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +37.11% · α vs SPY +40.70% · entry $7.06 → $4.44
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.37%
call +6.37% · α +5.15%
$6.61
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.85%
call -0.85% · α -1.57%
$7.12
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-3.54%
call +3.54% · α +2.68%
$6.81
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-37.11%
call +37.11% · α +40.70%
$4.44
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Merlin, Inc.'s S-1 registration (File No. 333-295578) became effective on May 13, 2026. This effectiveness covers two prior S-1 filings: a secondary resale of 13,336,000 shares by selling stockholder Alyeska Master Fund (no proceeds to Merlin) and a registration of shares from the company's business combination with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. The effectiveness allows immediate share sales, creating near-term dilution overhang for the stock.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: May 13, 2026 for S-1 File No. 333-295578
  • Covers two prior S-1 filings: secondary resale of 13,336,000 shares by Alyeska Master Fund and shares from business combination with Inflection Point Acquisition Corp.
  • Merlin will not receive any proceeds from the secondary resale; only potential proceeds of ~$26.7M if PIPE warrant is exercised for cash
  • The 13,336,000 shares represent approximately 13.5% of outstanding common stock
  • Company has material weaknesses in internal controls and is early-stage with significant losses and negative cash flow

Financial Impact

Up to 13.5% dilution overhang from secondary resale; no proceeds to company unless PIPE warrant exercised (~$26.7M potential)

dilutionstock pricecash position

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution from secondary share sales by Alyeska Master Fund
  • No cash proceeds to Merlin from the resale, limiting capital for operations
  • Early-stage company with significant losses and negative cash flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001624
Document: 9999999995-26-001624-index.html9999999995-26-001624
Document: 9999999995-26-001624.txt9999999995-26-001624
14 reports for MRLN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +73.34%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MRLN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8837awaiting T+20—$1.01 (+14.86%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$0.8439awaiting T+20—$1.01 (+20.27%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.29awaiting T+20—$1.01 (−21.32%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.56awaiting T+20—$1.01 (−34.94%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.86 $1.07▼ −42.47%▼ −41.57%$1.01 (−45.43%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.06 $6.81▼ −3.54%▼ −2.68%$1.01 (−85.62%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.06 $6.81▲ +3.54%▲ +2.68%$1.01 (+85.62%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.06 $6.81▲ +3.54%▲ +2.68%$1.01 (+85.62%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.32 $7.27▲ +22.00%▲ +24.78%$1.01 (+89.11%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.62 $8.00▲ +7.19%▲ +12.65%$1.01 (+88.23%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published May 14, 2026