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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corp
BULLISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed10d 12h ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The unanimous accumulation by four active asset managers — particularly the doubling of stakes by Assenagon and Td Waterhouse — suggests conviction in MPC's refining margin outlook or capital return trajectory. However, 13F data reflects Q3-end positions filed with a 45-day lag; monitor for any subsequent insider trading or earnings guidance that could confirm or contradict this thesis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
MPC ▼ -0.42% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.42% · α vs SPY -0.27% · entry $473.69 → $471.72
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.28%
call +0.28% · α -0.05%
$475.04
settled 8d ago
T+5d
-0.42%
call -0.42% · α -0.27%
$471.72
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Four asset managers significantly increased their MPC positions in Q3 2026, with two funds doubling their stakes. Total institutional buying reached $87.0M in new capital deployed, with zero selling among tracked funds. This cluster suggests a shared positive view on Marathon Petroleum's refining and mid-cycle earnings potential, though 13F data is stale by 45+ days.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$114.1M
Net Flow
$87.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $87.0M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementDOUBLED+206.1%$81.8M$64.5M
Td Waterhouse CanadaDOUBLED+200.3%$19.4M$15.3M
Farther Finance AdvisorsADD+34.8%$8.2M$4.3M
Mather GroupADD+72.7%$4.7M$2.9M

Key Facts

  • 4 tracked institutions added $87.0M in net new MPC positions during Q3 2026
  • Assenagon Asset Management doubled its stake (+206.1%), adding $64.5M to reach $81.8M
  • Td Waterhouse Canada doubled its position (+200.3%), adding $15.3M to reach $19.4M
  • Farther Finance Advisors added 34.8% (+$4.3M) and Mather Group added 72.7% (+$2.9M)
  • Zero tracked institutions reduced or exited MPC positions in the quarter

Financial Impact

4 asset managers deployed $87.0M in new capital into MPC, with total tracked holdings reaching $114.1M. No selling activity was recorded among tracked funds.

institutional ownershipfloat demand

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is stale by 45+ days; positions may have been partially or fully unwound since quarter-end
  • All four buyers are asset managers (not activist or event-driven funds), limiting catalyst visibility
  • Refining margins are cyclical and subject to macro headwinds (demand, RIN costs, geopolitical factors)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MPC-2026-Q3
14 reports for MPC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +41.99%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MPC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$473.69awaiting T+20——
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$424.89awaiting T+20——
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$387.00 $420.15▲ +8.57%▲ +8.47%—
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$358.23 $424.89▲ +18.61%▲ +18.48%—
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$365.21 $413.92▲ +13.34%▲ +15.08%—
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$312.61 $383.00▲ +22.52%▲ +23.75%—
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$259.22 $309.24▲ +19.30%▲ +19.58%—
May 6, 2026
24w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$242.17 $267.21▲ +10.34%▲ +7.21%—
May 5, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$259.78 $263.06▲ +1.26%▼ −3.69%—
Apr 21, 2026
27w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$222.07 $258.37▲ +16.35%▲ +12.12%—
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 16, 2026